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[lastpost] => 2797931 本周加密货币综述：影响中期牛市的三大因素（转） 1768643698 rainwang
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方向对了、点位略微出现偏差。 4 |8 h. N# X0 S" q
现在要强调的并非熊市不言底、 # d) J M) _5 r1 \ u- R3 m/ _' M
也不是cpi暴雷问题！
+ \. V' H% `6 u5 d1 I5 u" Q
- `1 \& R& z! o而是当本月最大利空落地后，市场依旧一泻千里。
: X7 ~7 I/ E: d7 }& S6 r5 ]4 T失守去年注水5.19低点后、以太再次以该支撑出现夭折行情。
{8 Q; o$ u" Y7 Y- A三箭资本借以太利好、频繁加持，最终近20亿未偿还债务。
* r! \) S% `4 _: J' i: h% U市场机构、除灰度外、其余任何机构基金都出现大幅比未实现亏损。及更多清算问题，
9 Z* V+ z* b' T3 s1 ?/ Q市场已不仅仅是恐慌问题。 ( A1 s/ x7 Q& X. c1 y9 B7 Z4 @
而是与美股对比、市场整体对加密的估值出现了动摇！ + z4 j7 W$ ^8 a4 c! g3 o; ]
除开泡沫多、市场会重新定义加密价值。 ) h! U% Y2 J ?) Z
直白的说， ! C$ s& j, t' |
市场借助这轮加息，重新洗牌。 # A+ d1 N9 b! t8 }9 a) B% J' W
下一轮牛市，周期会十分长。
0 ?6 ~' o; ?8 o: j0 s即使加息结束，69000高点，很难在下一轮牛市形成。 ' T$ ]: d9 J0 O5 ]
但切记，即使是这样，现货也不建议割肉。 . e% [) X: ^' T
被套躺平、长线布局等cpi稳定。 4 S# v, ]+ C; u9 u5 C
短线不追空，不抄底，反弹空。
- m& n. V" G6 k( H8 z7 \# a9 U6 n; I跟趋势走，跌透为止。 4 A: I! N1 z( p: Q+ `, n5 d7 I
老观点，周线实体阴线，未收下影。 / p& f' @7 `* r# r9 k0 }
下周铁定惯性下行，收阳概率极低。 + z! L& P2 z1 [) A& w" V
环境不允！氛围不允。利空之下，更无资金接力可能。
# T% `$ n0 }8 z夜里继续以反弹4小时近5日线做高空埋伏、 5 r: H x+ G. J/ }6 Z
大饼反弹至18900高空
" H6 _* q- N0 Z0 w0 q9 K* ~$ d7 T( y补仓19100 防守19300 : H7 b) ~4 a8 Y% C
目标18100-17950
1 i6 z, P6 }. l8 }" e" r破位17650
& f. Q( U& W- |" M( j( k8 k持续下看至17000 % p d* m5 [1 D+ r
以太反弹至985-995高空补仓1018 + i% y/ {2 Y2 D
防守1030
0 {; b5 p3 }9 x* B& t目标910-890 $ j* R3 y6 O" y
还没出现日线大幅度插针、将现阶段所有不利消息一次跌透。开空，仍不晚。 % ^- y4 I. y4 X+ w& }* c+ |' N, Q
熊市不言底，市场估值出现问题，新一轮洗牌。 ; k& ]- k+ l* V- Y1 j5 }2 g
还有尾声机会。
1 R) N! [7 ^5 }0 Y1 o2 R再晚一点，就只能做横盘箱体。 8 C& B4 |4 Z2 k* |6 C6 F
来源：金色财经 |
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