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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
' c; { b% O: s6 B) ?. B! s" |9 Y行情补充、 , J, v ?& T/ y# S8 B8 y7 S" |; ^
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
2 k3 ]) n+ C0 p# f- b6 }市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。
5 o- ^. y! [0 W5 c6 W7 Q关于疑问、一一回复。
" S4 M0 n7 d, p' O今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
! h( s3 s, O/ ~5 k
8 [6 u" ^! l5 B: ]6 Z( }
首先就个人的主观来说、 % W4 N" G2 \+ m
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 }; k% P6 d8 Y4 A+ M: d/ ~
极度憧憬市场的未来！
O @8 k0 k9 @0 r* |+ i# L但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 ' d) P* o! B+ c, ^
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
1 b( E! a* Y1 u5 _( E而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 , `' r. k) F9 v; q
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 ' x+ z) M5 \3 ^2 L$ Q( p) @0 D' I
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 8 l& k& v7 z( D
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
+ h Q: O- u z! Q. x8 a, \（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 7 z; N# g) [* j, J3 `, I* ]8 Y
为什么会跌、
$ c4 t( Q' k3 t6 I( c1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 & |0 y4 G o, K" Z, O( ~
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
2 S) c/ ~* |6 ^) ^$ H( Y; _4 K% X3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 - @6 g2 X- n( r- H! }5 ~( ]
综上造成的下跌、
$ B2 k: J+ b4 V# c& R' O" c这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
+ }! w0 B7 n2 w* e( ]$ X% y也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 . x- G* u! h: E5 d; f+ o
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
5 h. O9 f( s4 r: L来决定行情是否好转。
8 G8 D( o4 z6 C1 m7 M6 v" A至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
" h+ t Z( c& Z- L4 {% Z! [8 X+ e3 L2 n( n在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. 4 {5 L$ @$ b) Q+ X
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
2 v/ m" p8 e/ P. Q4 H( I8 B周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
- v* A2 ^. s- ]5 q' z9 m0 V. \那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 0 U! W3 W a; X2 A8 |
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 0 G: s: ^4 m+ u1 r( P' a
日内大饼反弹、
8 O% S i) h z% |! z/ k; O# |26150高空
& D9 b. z# K4 t& F7 F26350补仓
6 T1 l" q/ u2 u26550防守 , @8 X1 C( H3 C& b a% `* j
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 * x2 [8 k1 B/ p' L3 ]' Q( d
以太反弹
& I q( ^3 @ t% d3 G6 w1380高空 5 H' t4 r# J; P! y' w( d6 S
1400补仓
/ \5 \/ Z4 S, s P3 n2 S1420防守
' f* \, [ m: D9 o" U0 E目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 * N0 G' G0 O/ D# h7 B6 {. J
附言、
3 G0 n6 `9 z3 t# O% H4 d许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
2 Q5 @ J) E8 M( W2 }0 M是正常现象， 7 E1 E$ t* e1 q, z4 L- |# S( \# m& g
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
' G' z0 _& U0 ]/ }8 r对于市场、依旧未来可期。
: M3 j; w% P8 V7 U, v9 ]大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 6 b. Q7 k1 k9 W$ n
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
( T5 N$ O/ ~4 Z9 q% P3 ^; o! c3 F3 B% w5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 $ ?( A7 v {2 t8 x
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
- M) \8 e# M4 {- x2 @, v* D相信七月公布时，会较理想。
! W: n9 Z# Y. O U但现阶段，要承受的住。
* r1 K% H/ ]3 }0 ~最后再强调、现货勿割。
1 d8 N: a1 O! m3 J. M8 V9 o25000的大饼 1300的以太、
! w3 @# h, x$ P- L2 ]个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 & f* J/ k3 I. x. P0 `
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 ; }) u4 I% n9 I; N% O2 Y& c
这个市场， . b) z" P! m1 ^
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
2 ~" e Q9 ?! P最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 " K& d* q0 l; ?. y) t: e8 h1 C
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
1 L3 m- i9 j6 A3 J" U6 o但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 {. x7 s. Y1 X8 c
来源：金色财经 |
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