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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
; o: ?7 o& ^2 _, @2 B8 y ?$ h. X0 ]行情补充、 " r* \4 _& j9 o1 u
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
, G# r1 r7 [/ I* Y市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。
2 O+ [5 J2 z3 [) s3 e# ~关于疑问、一一回复。
, q& l- B: s$ F3 g今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
* m: ?3 Y9 {5 s9 z& y% x
; P r, v) M0 j# u首先就个人的主观来说、 / Q2 D7 `6 v" y( {3 q& l# {
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
- U! I6 P5 t$ Z: e$ A6 W极度憧憬市场的未来！
* _3 {' s- K3 K. d但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
- L% N/ N8 R1 r9 H最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 0 r7 V/ ^: P7 }+ U, t8 A
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 # P [3 F p4 _( N* a- [9 l% Q
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 % P5 F, d' x0 G) M' ~ X4 _
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 + k0 i, Z/ b1 w6 c l2 B
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
8 e) v9 U4 M. H（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 9 |; p6 l7 e# x9 G6 `4 x% X W
为什么会跌、
& C# A" X' J `8 d( W% ~1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 & t1 i0 L1 o4 Y- O$ W
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 ' I8 {5 S* Y5 n: n
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
: o% \7 p6 x% q& F) @" _综上造成的下跌、
K2 q, @9 b7 {4 Z, I9 X( }这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
% r6 ]! ^& J5 B4 ~' ~也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 + ?; b& X- Q/ A' u: t2 D& i& O! q
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
8 y3 L4 |' d/ N6 J/ `/ t2 C H' V K来决定行情是否好转。 * g2 V" N6 U% f% v% t8 g, |
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 ; k. f0 g; c) t. z9 ^
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. " K7 Z$ [9 T% H( k# E# Q
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 9 a2 V0 e& `+ j4 c, L
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
, [8 v% ?% ^8 f: G1 g2 ]那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
# g4 F) G" E) x: r; _# @# o7 }7 y m. o看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
0 A% M2 H! H6 Y日内大饼反弹、
4 m S/ D7 L1 U" e: s5 o) x1 e26150高空
6 ^, g1 g; v; {# e26350补仓 + D' b+ W" W4 {4 @0 e4 p2 G* c
26550防守
* |2 {6 n( u$ q* l e# g目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 6 [# a0 H: G* k D' {8 |5 O- C
以太反弹
# D g' i" I, ]' u1380高空
& {. K2 T' A" z5 `: {/ m" e1400补仓 7 o" t- t% Y. G
1420防守
% Q L, _4 E) p) U6 l目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 ( V, ?$ Y- _: G5 h2 C
附言、
: `8 P+ c" x4 Q! E7 |. v3 Y: x3 i许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
7 o# ?- l u5 L$ U是正常现象， # d. k0 p @7 G2 v( w$ f5 L
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 5 V1 |* d7 I) n' y0 T1 b' V- u
对于市场、依旧未来可期。 % X4 j4 K8 {3 j& G, H5 T
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
" K$ w: {9 u9 t4 |: d上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 # X$ I! s( [/ }, Y& W/ I3 K$ J6 F4 R
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
/ H! K$ ]* j# b. T6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
: N; t: z5 c2 L$ y# t* m相信七月公布时，会较理想。 9 |2 S% l3 ^: p- G- w+ s
但现阶段，要承受的住。
/ ?$ l8 `" s+ g: ^8 Z. x# a最后再强调、现货勿割。
) V" [1 D1 L5 V25000的大饼 1300的以太、 , T2 ?% E V- H1 d( r5 J
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 $ S; y, p1 Y+ g
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
. S, f" K, w7 | G' U) L这个市场，
- }4 {8 M, F. h; {1 i消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 4 ?1 u9 N1 f; S
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
3 T* i2 o% S2 V5 K切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
/ m, ]% k9 _' E- k8 o但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
9 }' W3 s" L& y. B0 F1 i来源：金色财经 |
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