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[lastpost] => 2783491 比特币暴跌导致杠杆多头头寸在短短一小时内蒸发近10亿美元。（转） 1763802875 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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- v5 Y+ }7 h( i+ g6 \5 S7 L& ` 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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1 `' J& [( b, [( U/ l; w 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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6 h$ E9 I3 A9 G9 q2 j+ Z 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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6 T9 V% }' ~& T4 L& }2 O Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。% h/ U) c2 m5 X& I: _
1 D4 h2 M4 t7 v; | 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。1 X2 h9 `- n7 Z% [
2 h9 s: |* r; b+ [# k: Y9 D 市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。( @3 O' e/ ~; r) P: L' V9 {# P2 |
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针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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; `6 J7 c% F5 l 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，6 h$ K9 s! @! a6 R* r
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。 N4 ~0 Z p% D8 N4 c. j1 @
7 H& y0 e4 [+ k$ j; N “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”8 U; o. X7 t, u3 @: G8 _4 W
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9 d5 ^8 H( K6 ]. W- e8 ^1 s 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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+ ^+ z- Y+ z; K E( J" l “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在$ t1 A5 `$ A2 m7 Z! V
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积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”- \ }" ^" W( o9 e, Y
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|& c( r* R. T/ C7 B9 K5 y+ Q 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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9 g4 E. {$ y9 u; K8 e0 {7 c( \ 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。7 G; q1 n/ J& r' a3 e
4 Z+ Y1 F$ b+ A6 {4 D( f. K 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。2 W: E1 e( N9 E( ]8 R: z, h) f
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4 g% l" k5 R! a3 e- i 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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: ?1 s' F% P7 I5 ]+ Q. {- j1 k" x市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”$ S" N( J3 T( b- h0 q
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