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[lastpost] => 2797544 莱特币交易价格较 2025 年峰值下跌 46%（转） 1768491881 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。6 R+ H% `: |! I7 ~" E
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。3 B1 k" \- c9 f3 C) g, ]
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/ H( ?5 t7 I5 ?% {' i! a7 S 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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3 M. z3 N9 E0 d$ A9 J 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。7 Y8 I1 Z7 i0 k1 n9 b- z) W: n) X0 ~& c
/ |+ d/ ?$ ~% p4 D, O. ] 市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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! P, i4 P. H$ f, v6 v( ~4 r 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。, x" p4 T, y$ W, i
/ G) N! k- Q# j. I 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。: w! L' W ^# F+ R. F
' q4 t. l* |* L7 L8 e “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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+ d# v, D1 M+ f2 g- A- `框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”% M' H) a0 b0 ~' v+ T' o" q$ E+ N
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( r2 g- A; W; J 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。6 _% _7 A: i' L8 D1 Z% e/ b( ^) ^
9 m& _4 p% p" e: r0 l$ `* ?2 H “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在/ i: d7 T0 |' X/ J' Q$ s# h
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积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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) M+ J/ w6 y% S& B+ G5 Z 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。% x" g! \" J& E
; k9 l m" G9 a; R% C 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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4 ?" {/ p9 b" j; a 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。0 K& Z! _* A! a( C
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, I' e0 ~: I; e. M 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”( {: P5 o) W: s: Y6 r7 A
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