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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
, J2 j$ T- T' D: h; k: Z3 ^他希望能和上帝来场赌局。 @2 l3 v1 \# s. s
: A$ u. @( B8 E% w' o 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。1 F l0 C7 \3 O5 f- ~
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」4 G9 a/ b' I# s* i! R
2 x# g t; t l! r7 P「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 + } ^" d7 j1 M) {) ~
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」" N6 ]4 I% B& a; O1 O
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上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
5 N9 g1 M3 y: Y" d/ L: K- v; J因此铜板较容易出现正面。+ P' A$ r- S* L* z3 Q3 ^; X3 {, n
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 9 t; \/ W; U6 k+ z/ s/ M, Y5 b! p
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
b* D c d* I# F& K# i心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
( g5 R% D9 a; L) `2 j e7 ?赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」, N& x% A) Z2 ?0 O! e4 M; v
: O# ?- M" D( W! _( S赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
* j' K( d) g3 b) p但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。9 X7 t( c) m; r2 p6 e/ x+ {7 Z( a% d
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?5 i+ k |6 L4 E2 X
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 ' v! @- {' ^( z% c4 O+ H+ z" o
上帝回答道：
7 w0 i' H7 x/ s「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」3 P& G8 t4 N1 C, `" A9 l
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
! `* B8 O% z; v r$ B8 y9 X「而不是先发生在我身上。」 r5 a0 t0 c' X
: t! [4 j" S" N' Y7 n: N- q5 G 赌徒恍然大悟，- V! c5 J, p& g! g
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，* u! D) Z+ l1 s( C/ ]# ^& s
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
1 x# b* H" H& ~4 g) q2 O「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
( ^ F- N0 F) X% Q5 J上帝说完便不见踪影。 % t7 u# h3 d, ?: T5 r( o( w
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，$ K3 c& w, I, ~# K9 Y9 p0 g
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
+ j" c2 z- [, m' B1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
4 K* a# D5 o6 }) M, t9 Y对赌徒十分有利。
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) l' u$ A& ~/ I) D6 N但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
( O1 ?8 ~/ L6 L% M, x$ p5 v8 ?在还没掷到1000次之前，
# ~% ~: `: u3 ^( Z! t仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。$ r! G4 j$ n; q4 [" p/ q! V
! z, t$ K! j& Y! V 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。% _: H2 Q6 \/ C4 T( n' F- u
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。& @: L" j" A: [
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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# y" x) _. X% Q7 M- ^- M) S3 _ 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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