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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!! H9 U; f0 D8 ~" B$ P; G+ J
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
3 ?; B; g, V( P他希望能和上帝来场赌局。* a- j0 _2 s: K4 V- s% d
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。" v" Y7 J" u, L0 d
% I3 D4 M2 K6 I: S 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
! o& k" W6 G- {; ?$ G) e 4 V& c# A: L$ t. i8 s; r
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 # J2 u3 ]/ B4 Z; e9 F$ C
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
3 A) d0 p( `# t& J# y* ^# d" T# s8 T, w' u
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
8 a* S1 J8 _. k& t* j5 _
3 r& z% ?' t0 A7 F+ q3 c接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
9 F) R7 T- v8 Y/ S+ f因此铜板较容易出现正面。- f' _6 ]: V: T& E
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
- o" R+ u% ]. c& T. c% K. P因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
; A' C9 p2 n' Q8 M) W3 j3 ^心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，8 x+ ]7 w. I+ S; i- w9 C
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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! ]( Y( L9 n! G3 m: N5 I赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，" Y$ C8 d2 F* w W8 B
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?' J& o+ w: @6 @- E' E
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：
1 G: A2 z1 O M& j「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」; I' S( z& L4 H) i
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
6 ^. I- F- @( o/ P% q" \& H「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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% s. s7 v" C5 s N# V 赌徒恍然大悟，2 D8 ?2 P* ~9 r/ `$ E2 `
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
- g1 N* l4 ]: w! r竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！/ ^( @2 L0 Z1 \9 f
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」5 z: i5 `* d# Z' `" N" x
上帝说完便不见踪影。 % d( |8 [# i. D8 W# d; d
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板， F5 w) }' o1 _" s" q
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，/ c+ W1 ]) l4 p1 }' m
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，! g; F$ i9 t1 P3 q5 l3 x% E
对赌徒十分有利。8 ~, z, H- {! c4 _+ Y, o' }6 a/ d
! ~! ?8 r" \- G" N/ g# U( H但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
# ~$ d* }! {! O' v$ v, c4 w- q/ s5 h( B在还没掷到1000次之前，! a0 Y5 H. k- P' y
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
Q8 L! [8 D$ U0 l, T) O- O4 X7 ?* P# O
+ ]* S, A0 P2 T9 M( F0 R1 _ 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。$ W4 H% ]; {7 j ~0 a4 h, [: F0 B6 {
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，1 c! [4 U$ L ]
+ Z* }4 r+ v& i8 C* t+ c$ V 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ 8 u5 _( W. K( v# _& Z
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