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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 % J6 A' f. l( b6 B4 G
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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! J! w# P1 B% o这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!6 D) _) G# E$ z/ w _1 W7 h
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝..." U9 Z: _' ^4 n
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
+ u+ X0 F. {! r0 X% @$ D+ h
( n9 r% F! L8 b4 l0 u$ a! j 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。: E: Y7 F7 @, \
2 g5 W/ x3 h/ v4 B4 v* s4 } 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
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. N' J7 C7 n) y# U% n「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
8 q4 F6 j+ h! w1 F a& g「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」# P$ l$ w8 h% A5 H+ S7 B
+ k1 H+ _/ Y y: r 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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) l2 N' `6 B3 `1 t# d$ q. b- ~ h接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
. c q \9 F% h因此铜板较容易出现正面。
9 g. C" E. G. z5 v: E长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
+ [# _0 U' }* ?: H& W6 @因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。( F" e% _6 l" c! ?' S8 o
心想赢定了。1 ]4 h/ Z: X3 M5 i4 C. A
: Y' B) k; L, n* ^1 k, N没想到开始不到半刻钟，: k6 W$ y8 i0 e
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」% g7 |6 D1 e0 M# ^$ u
: x! Z+ Y( I6 z- S+ k w赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
- T3 @) c2 E+ S! l1 D但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
) ~4 {# e4 W6 K% P3 H# a, i他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：
) h" h9 L! W* `. `: B* {「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
) n( H( c: ?1 Q5 h9 Z" a, m「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
+ f$ W8 F j2 H* j「而不是先发生在我身上。」) ?. P" n* d. B0 z
6 _- `* I; r1 B" q 赌徒恍然大悟，
" c9 e3 k1 P8 k% g0 O" c原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，. ~" f! o0 N/ e5 G! K5 [0 L/ [
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
, Z4 [' m$ e; q「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」; ?& Y5 s0 Z# s! R2 t! A
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，3 m& R0 \3 ~- j1 {- R1 b) G' G0 N
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
) N) ]9 {% W; L! _1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，6 k: ?, Z7 u6 E! i( d( B7 d8 S
对赌徒十分有利。% {. p, C/ ?- c2 a: d1 V
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，" Y* v7 n" E3 O* x1 v- v
在还没掷到1000次之前， I5 ^" A$ O" |* k4 ~# C
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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# l" \1 j& V6 Z: r9 T 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，) ~2 J& M, ~/ D! j7 m4 O
7 l7 t8 `. Z' P; R( h2 p* E G A 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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