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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。
# O" X {; M& w1 t9 E7 eISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？: M _" g( M4 m0 `7 B5 Z
什么是ISDA？
* s- N' l0 l7 I5 W% W3 g( N! W国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
/ ]" R4 X! E6 H- ~, V& J营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约. C( a+ [: n) [" e/ B
(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易. g' h0 b1 ^. n# _6 T
双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市
0 @6 I. k* u$ K; X7 H) {) t5 R场的正常发展。
- K5 {# F' E, x% V* r* n换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。
% J5 Z( y# x& |9 J7 k% _1 S! B: _进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
, k( O# a. |0 u+ X% [/ mDigital Asset。! u, _6 _" l4 O' R9 |
加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？, r: K1 |: C b# t; A" i
Digital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影) R: y6 e6 G; n9 K
响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。. G' G$ L, ~, a |& `6 y
根据其推论：7 C$ Z3 o7 w5 Q) B
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元
1 x' h, C# W# S4 Q- `" n若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元& |) l F- L# X/ Q
XRP目前总市值为349亿美元0 G4 W1 y( h4 h; q2 G
需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元" j, Z/ W0 h* [* M& |
而XRP目前币价为0.6617422 S* z8 z3 J$ a3 _8 t
0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
8 h }9 F2 r4 d, c, U/ r挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？
" z! r4 ~+ ]2 o" x5 V0 O7 m# s不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎
; A) ^3 z- P% p4 E! z: |也未有极大的波动。
" d1 Q5 Y8 k; m; `8 [ K0 S# s而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生& T) l% h0 P5 y" m, W9 l
性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这3 a4 N Q) i9 S
个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢
3 s7 V2 b% |' l4 K7 n8 H# c4 E引导传统金融的采用呢？
2 M& L; y* O/ ~. j# Q
! O" g; R( D: v. |! u |
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