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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。
9 Y+ b- n: @: {* |3 M4 H. k- jISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？
( Y, ^' P- ?/ {什么是ISDA？" i4 X/ H9 {4 S+ n& W/ z+ x i
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
2 [ M0 e! A4 X/ m$ [" j营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约
' n" D% s6 c6 h9 r(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易
+ g! e9 R4 Y) o双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市6 q5 {- J0 M; k0 S3 W' Q1 W2 v
场的正常发展。. Z6 E! H6 ^' W% y) K
换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。. h8 v2 Y1 _2 U% ]" t
进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
$ P0 F$ r+ k& t3 O- ?Digital Asset。
3 y+ Z1 \* C. {# K5 i" O: g加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？
3 K9 V5 i( c9 `& T" m7 I5 xDigital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影
9 i) P/ u K: p: ]- t9 I响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。/ q8 i/ D2 @- V
根据其推论：
/ I! l) b; X8 [现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元
& ]5 \/ U0 U+ y! g! X- P- a若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元0 v/ M4 B. {: G! [ B/ w/ F
XRP目前总市值为349亿美元/ a" R* G+ [4 h+ l, _
需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元
6 q5 @' }/ s6 M3 W而XRP目前币价为0.661742
# y4 x$ J7 m- U7 K. h! p0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
; ?+ W i, W+ P, z" o# W; S挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？3 E1 ]& O( M) l$ b# l* B6 S* m
不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎' \1 P7 N$ A9 d) x- M" m
也未有极大的波动。0 ^6 |' v1 A+ U9 F6 e8 m
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生
. Y7 @. e) [9 {' E性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这: P$ {2 p0 n# d9 U8 U+ U
个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢
7 {# d, J* O h- e引导传统金融的采用呢？4 {0 _ b+ Z; C3 n7 _! c9 t
' Q# D% T1 D, N% Y |
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