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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。& t O' Z9 l- t+ \
ISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？: N# O0 _8 a i
什么是ISDA？4 W- P! v( T0 O4 Q
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
9 p# C8 x8 k$ |$ W营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约
( I i9 N" z' R- ` O(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易# r+ z& f* X* m; }8 c% p
双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市
. K2 G$ ]+ E' Y8 ?' o" L" h场的正常发展。3 \* ]4 w" r8 I/ s7 Z- {3 S. ^
换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。% o" y/ N1 O! E' X D5 F
进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
# p b' b, W2 i& r" bDigital Asset。. X, _- z9 q4 B V3 ?# [! M; i$ f' G
加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？/ q+ j' E* e% U; x, s& t, F
Digital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影
# p* C+ Z/ u( s7 P2 p响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。' l, t: k5 F: f7 j8 k$ }. p
根据其推论：
6 l+ }( ]; B1 I9 q, h# k; T" `' I现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元, W7 I% h& ~" }9 K1 {
若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元
6 p. c$ ~/ O) |9 v; D6 s9 RXRP目前总市值为349亿美元% H1 m2 J; E" K# o
需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元$ m i2 o* T( A2 e% l- M: d
而XRP目前币价为0.661742
7 _, ]& Y" C( q/ w0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元& Z; R; j+ g7 K' H# c
挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？6 N4 E' U% v' z. I) E% U
不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎
7 M& y' T' S' d也未有极大的波动。9 |4 K* z$ L0 X& ?7 Y- H1 ]. ^
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生) z- }& ]! b+ t* N3 g* e0 m& K# c
性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这
9 ?" C+ ]2 S- M$ Z I* \" t个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢3 L' q6 g4 w# x3 p/ M
引导传统金融的采用呢？ W. o% H+ n: _* r
( H7 u0 k% `- \
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