×
Array
(
[fid] => 6728
[description] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!
[password] =>
[icon] => 7c/common_6728_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[digest] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 0
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 1
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 3
[fid] => 6728
[rulename] => 加精华
[action] => digest
[fids] => 6966,6903,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728
)
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6728
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6728
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] =>
[rules] => 1)发布主题帖+1经验+1活跃币,回贴+10华小分
2)Lv.1及其以上级别会员可以发布主题帖,Lv.1及其以上会员可以回帖
4)转帖请在主题上标明
5)禁止发布与本版块无关的主题(违反,帖子转移到相关版块,并扣50经验)
6)禁止回复与主题无关的帖子(违反,帖子删除,并扣10经验)
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[137] => 体育菠菜玩法规则
[138] => 体育菠菜心得方法
[139] => 体育菠菜问题咨询
)
[icons] => Array
(
[137] =>
[138] =>
[139] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[137] =>
[138] =>
[139] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 81 83 84 87 89 90 91 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8 92
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] => 足球,篮球,体育,规则,打法
[seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[sort] => 0
[orderby] => 2
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 5
[imagewidth] => 200
[imageheight] => 150
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 900
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6831
[type] => forum
[name] => 体育知识讲座
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 5
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 2735
[posts] => 23139
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 113
[oldrank] => 114
[lastpost] => 125127 升降盘理论 1741350473 france89
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 1
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 0
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 1656 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
此帖转贴,作者wloo (凉咖啡)6 q7 O+ S9 b G" A$ I4 f
Dubo不是好东西,盲目的赌真的会让你倾家荡产。但是如果你真能掌握其中某些实
2 v; R( _7 |. K质,结果也许真的会大不一样。. r7 W0 v* e: \& e
一个玩21点的,在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,他一个晚上就能赢走90万多
3 r% w y, N3 s m: h; f% @美元/ ^' \ M, A" u$ C
他凭自己的技术,要养家糊口是不成问题的。要说华尔街那些人能在某种程度上掌
- u h" R O u# j9 A1 B7 r0 C控国家经济,也是事实。他们所做的某些工作跟赌有紧密联系的。所以说,小赌可, X }" U1 M1 e" a) w- \" z
以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民,也不能算是痴人梦话。
" Y$ Q1 [1 ^/ S! }Dubo有多种,这里只说赌彩,就是玩彩票。 有人说,彩票是愚者的Dubo,智者的游1 @$ W" {' P0 P; M( w% j
戏,我赞承这种说法。
& c2 B5 ]# |* ?! D# p1 `) q现在还没听说过什么人能用玩彩来养家糊口、救国救民,如果真能玩到这种境界,
2 E9 {6 p! D" X, n$ k& d也算世界状元了!但如果你非赌不可,就必须首先具备成熟的心理素质。
3 {- |# R0 f' S/ P/ r首先应该面对的是关于彩票公证性的挑战。+ [" `/ C& b5 P" w
玩彩前,每个人都要先问一个问题:彩票公司公正吗?出号真的是随机的吗?
9 v! H c3 |$ g" f/ C" E6 }疑问1:现在世界上主要国家(包括加拿大,不包括天朝)的彩票公司都在用一种
+ o2 Q, h) J; x" Q+ T. wG-tech技术保护,不敢对G-tech多说什么,只是在下面列出很多彩票玩家经常提出7 S2 F8 C* v l7 Z0 e2 m1 Z
的一些与G-teck 有关的问题:
/ Y0 h1 M! M6 s5 A- \7 d* Why one organization called “G-TECH” behind the world lotteries?" t5 b8 b3 P5 c# Q3 w- K. k, M
Is it because those world governments cannot afford to buy the4 ]/ b8 e% h8 j
equipment outright unless G-TECH supplies it to them?5 Y- [0 j+ m& Y! {7 |
* Why G-TECH collect percentage of the profit from the local operators?* O+ z" |1 m) a! q
* What more is in to lotteries apart from Machines and Balls?2 n. D# |5 A$ g: ^. q4 O; a: O3 K! y* w
Could it be software involved?3 ^9 t! z! j4 X/ m
* Why world data such as UK, France, Germany, Spain and even USA have the
8 k# R+ z2 B3 `; Jsame resemblance but never and ever match entirely?
% l( }2 }; R1 D+ Z p4 H* Why satellite terminals are involved if the draws are taking place locally,! y, [0 f* H9 g7 v
is it because to transfer data back to G-TECH for calculations?
& a9 }2 ]8 D" U# z y* Why there is a minimum of half hour interval from the shut down of terminals
8 [$ `8 Q8 H6 U" y" Rto the time draw takes place, what the organizers do during this time?
, h a7 H% Y2 w) o2 w* How can the local organization running the lottery like Camelot in UK can take$ P9 L( |0 y( {# g
their share of sales (%50 I believe) before the draw takes place especially
/ }( I/ b# A: i' u, V9 G0 W7 lwhere there is a minimum prize of £10 guaranteed? ? How do they know how& y% E% n7 O0 L/ D+ b; E7 g" l0 a
many $10 winners there are to calculate their sums when there is a possibility
& d( X4 }! m' @) m- Rof the number of £10 winners exceed from the total sales?
1 ?* z e% q$ D" x C** 注:据说G-tect理论需要30分钟去完成某些“优化”计算
/ r' T0 n2 r: z) C** 注:理论上讲,过去的中奖号码最多在4500期后就会出现首次重复。! [* o. l% w* w5 q8 X
疑问2:曾有人在某彩票玩家网站上贴出下面文字,后来经有心人查证,其作者IP
& u3 i9 l1 Y7 Z似乎是控制加拿大649、Super7的彩票公司,就是说是彩票公司内部的人发出的...! ^% S9 H/ @7 N6 k" X% x- q
Winning numbers how there are selected
5 I/ k/ O$ G( nThis is the way we select the winning numbers:$ [' T* ]+ g) _% F! E5 w
Select "XXX' Numbers_set from Played_numbers& _ B% _+ Z% _! Y
where Province_of_played='XXX' and city_of_played='XXX" and time_of_played='XXX'( `! p8 ^4 ?5 o
and Method_of_Played='XXXX'& o4 C8 R' P( d9 D# F# u
On each ticket we record the place, the time and the way the numbers have been selected.
* o: ^8 b% b7 c. f( P f @6 q. PWe run this query against all played sets.5 O5 ^1 s- `/ j0 ~6 {5 E
We then feed the drawing machine with the results, the outcome will always be what we want.
" u1 g8 r& ~2 q# b1 g2 qFor example if we want to have a single winner from Ontario, who played quick pick we run! ^& k2 V! G, t& k" D/ ]- }
the following query:
9 E( |% b$ s5 MSelect unique numbers_set from played_numbers6 j2 S7 F' ?+ o+ L
where province_of_played='Ontario' and method_of_played='quick pick';; C" J7 e- h p I
It just takes less than 5 minutes to get the results.
3 D7 E5 D( L/ s$ q* n eWe prefer players wo play quick pick because our machine predict the numbers. B4 n: W$ T w. x6 f8 z
If we do not want a winner we run the following query:
5 K$ _! t# S% s& A' _! E% PSelect unique numbers_set from all_numbers_set where numbers_set not in played_numbers;* n' J2 b/ a" j: x
上述英文是原文,没经过任何改动。2 h3 _& j# W+ d7 E
虽然此帖没明说是用在何种彩票上,但后来因为其作者IP的曝光(彩票公司内部人),# D% F! X, y6 [5 p
很让人怀疑加拿大649、Super7的公正性。如果这是真的,很恐怖。
2 J; l, O. V) s6 p疑问3:为什么现在加拿大彩票公司不实况转播摇奖过程,为什么加拿大彩票公司
0 E) p- I( X0 S8 d在停止售票1个半小时后才开始摇奖,而且每次摇奖只有几个人参与(一两个摇奖; n8 F; U4 o- |
人员加三两个摄录的技术人员)?& G+ Q9 C: b* e1 s6 Q; g" Q6 F
为什么摇奖过程没有法律公证人员参与、证实?为什么所有玩家购买号不能在摇奖( e5 p# J, K/ `+ d
前刻在一张非重写的光盘上(体现公正性方法之一)?等等,很多问题。
' ~! b- `3 `7 x# p, ~疑问4:为什么大多数情况下,“中奖者”信息不公开?(有人指出有很多未曝光的重+ n- z: S9 R( i, v8 M: R
复中彩者)
4 j7 k* V0 {) \9 ]4 H/ k+ f为什么几年前安省649出号与同期加拿大649出号极其相像,远远超过其理论上的
/ I% Z* Q6 w8 p可能性?
* b. c; p, i* A* L3 n0 T疑问5:为什么彩票公司很多公开年薪超过10万的工作人员,几乎所有人公开的Taxable: t6 B4 D8 E" ~3 \
Benefits只有不到200元?不用上税的Benefits有多少?( S, Y- \# S2 R; f8 p4 f0 R
下面附件里包括部分2003年OLGC年薪超过10万的Name、Position、Salary、 {1 p" k; s; R5 Z F" B
Taxable Benefits。其实还有很多的疑问,但以上的疑问足以使一个成熟的人望而
' ]! w5 I$ j7 ]* N7 v( Y+ V止步。我个人的感觉,相比之下真正公正的彩票是天朝的彩票。如果你有成熟的心+ a% M; s' A; u
理素质包容以上疑问,并且还坚持非赌不可,那么你还需要了解一些有关彩票的最/ X( q. p) |! ?
基本的知识。
o0 t" }6 I. u! q4 A应该承认,通过适当的分析,是可以大幅度提高中奖机率的。虽然那个玩21点的,
( i: U# G$ ]2 G在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,一个晚上就能赢走90万多美元,但是对彩票
9 X' q7 B! u& [1 c而言,却完全不是这样。其实对彩票研究而言,提高3%的中奖机率并不困难。比
, K5 e! c9 q( d0 U2 X如几周前,某人给出20个数字,说明是其后10次加拿大649最佳候选号。结果中5
& A- b, ~- J7 A2 d个(或以上)中奖号至少3次以上。
- o+ v5 T& @1 A& f% q理论上,49选20中5的几率是3.2153%,此人的结果提高30%以上的中奖机率。可; I- |- o1 c6 [
结果是他自己最多中了10块钱。原因很简单,彩票可能性的数据量太大,除了专业! {8 E8 M4 C: M ~/ ~. @1 Q
玩彩的,没有人会每期投入几十万。6 D0 w" }/ N' s6 X3 k4 t/ p, x$ ?- |
20选6有38760种可能,20选5加另外29选1有449616种可能,每期花$976752,
( t; h) @" e/ R7 r; U似乎专业玩彩的也不敢这样投。结论是即使你提高了30%的中奖机率,尤其是没有
" O3 l5 F6 p4 ~. o% Y8 V* X人敢100%保证它的号能每次都达到30%的中5个机率,如果每次买全可能号码,最5 m4 A! R& i# J, A9 ]& K( D/ B7 S
后你还有70%的机率是赔。
/ W) w; G4 ^8 u: T# M5 h即使用旋转矩阵选号,20中5保3也要20个以上,仍然赔。如果不自己选号,去quick
" m+ s4 R. o) Cpick,就是机选,那你几乎是没有什么机会的,即使是10块钱,你也会很难得到。
6 ^; R/ K1 z8 Y" C8 M: n' y x且不说上面提到的G-tech保护,首先,理论上的中奖机率就少得很。理论上的机率
2 a5 A W5 w$ V. Z也不保证100%中奖机率。
- O! ^' o7 ~9 j8 h& f3 \8 F举个具体的649的例子,中3的机率大概是1.765%(或1/57),但你买57张彩票,* l! y8 ~0 Z' `0 l
却不能100%的保证中3。如要100%的保证中3,现在的世界纪录是163,就是最少
4 b3 L& q* p; s3 v2 j2 `买163张彩票(当然按特定组合了),才能100%的保证你中3个。如果你老能设计2 U0 A/ s* F* {& P* U, x
一种组合,用低于163的数额就能保证中3,可以去参加Lottery Wheeling4 s- F6 x8 Z/ _4 Q, G! E
Challenge,也弄个青史留名。当然,这特殊的163张彩号组合,肯定不会受G-tech
" a: H9 @7 |1 J' f& D; W影响。问题是用163张彩票,$326,去赌$10奖金是否值得。
/ ?# Y1 f% u! J" i如果在这时你老还是非赌不可,那么该如何赌呢?不同的人有不同的技术,如果你+ O/ j* k$ o; p
没有白胡子老头托梦告诉你中奖号码,只能多在历史数据里下功夫了。" x' X5 \5 c! D, f
说到彩票研究,会有很多人说是痴心妄想。
7 C/ B5 J% L6 o7 x' F- V明白人会用概率理论来说明彩票是不可预测;6 E- c& \$ N( \' F
不明白人会说,如果你能预测,就先来中几千万;
8 O6 W; P+ M! ~' r" n+ W不明不白的人会说,中大奖的人都活不长,等等。
9 x, j. ]( @ U且不管这些不同人的心态,仅对彩票本身而论,要研究彩票,只能从历史数据着手," p" C! ]1 o E9 f
前提是你要承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有某些联系。# Y( r3 W0 {+ ^# T0 e( t0 O6 S
比如说第2527期彩票中奖号码是20 21 22 29 39 41,那么理论上第2528期的中奖& _; G' p* a4 i, w s/ ^
号码于上期没有任何重复数字的几率是43.6%,有一个重复数字的几率是41.3%。
% R1 U. {( }9 p0 b; z3 p) X* Q对所有前2527期结果统计表明,每期与前一期没有重复数字的次数是1086,重复, @- P# }9 M" e0 c1 ^
1的次数是:1047。另一方面,每期与20 21 22 29 39 41比较,没有重复数字的次6 e, M3 y5 T1 X- l/ m# e# g9 n9 ^
数是1102,重复1的次数是:1040。这些统计结果显示基本与理论结果一致。
- B; I" J- j7 D% j- ?明白人知道这里我想说明什么。
7 ]! s4 \4 d( ^; @$ x" g+ x在第2528期中,不同的组合,其出现的机率是不一致的。比如,与2527期重复2或6 M" l) S1 t* {* e9 c; y/ `
大于2的组合,其出现机率要小于15.1%。承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有一定联系
# d2 ]: x5 Z6 a7 r' ^后,你可以设计不同的参数去分析,其中某些是非常有效的。大家分析同一个对象,
+ l* @4 g& b4 [0 G但具体方法不同,其结论有天地之差。比如国内很多“专家”出书,分析奇偶,目前为5 k) V9 q& _4 A; b5 f( D. v- F
止,没看到任何实用的分析方法。简单的通过近期奇数个数、偶数个数来判断下期
! g8 {0 ]$ M4 y$ \1 ?1 q4 ]' T d奇偶分配,简直就是天方夜谭、痴人说梦。对具体的分析对象、分析方法的讨论,
" R% C. v2 P8 l+ O: k1 j( F/ s有时间时再听俺下文分解俺自己的心得。也请各位高人帮助填补下面内容。( E6 g% h3 c. x/ Q) D: ? t
小赌可以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民。 |
|
|
|
|
|
|