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[体育菠菜心得方法] 非赌不可如何赌:小赌可以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民
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此帖转贴,作者wloo  (凉咖啡)" Y$ J6 [. ^$ i! u
Dubo不是好东西,盲目的赌真的会让你倾家荡产。但是如果你真能掌握其中某些实
- d- S' l* m- t9 w质,结果也许真的会大不一样。  u! C) O8 w! y) M
一个玩21点的,在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,他一个晚上就能赢走90万多
& S( O  L! G  v+ z% {美元
/ [" F) Z* q4 M; B. t- [9 ~他凭自己的技术,要养家糊口是不成问题的。要说华尔街那些人能在某种程度上掌3 m# k4 b- `8 T- ]1 H! F
控国家经济,也是事实。他们所做的某些工作跟赌有紧密联系的。所以说,小赌可
7 @, E# g. {, G" {4 C以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民,也不能算是痴人梦话。, s5 ~& r0 f* Z7 y" w8 w- D' c
Dubo有多种,这里只说赌彩,就是玩彩票。 有人说,彩票是愚者的Dubo,智者的游
% E- s7 i# y8 N7 H& j& n: V戏,我赞承这种说法。
; |! u$ d# M* m4 t3 b现在还没听说过什么人能用玩彩来养家糊口、救国救民,如果真能玩到这种境界,' A3 G; C/ x: K  X0 E; A
也算世界状元了!但如果你非赌不可,就必须首先具备成熟的心理素质。- T7 C/ ]3 ?+ ^
首先应该面对的是关于彩票公证性的挑战。! M0 k# Q+ H& v( S- o1 J6 U
玩彩前,每个人都要先问一个问题:彩票公司公正吗?出号真的是随机的吗?7 [' L# J: K; }4 A" X- q3 U, K' g
疑问1:现在世界上主要国家(包括加拿大,不包括天朝)的彩票公司都在用一种& {9 h; f/ Q% \) x2 O
G-tech技术保护,不敢对G-tech多说什么,只是在下面列出很多彩票玩家经常提出# v5 q( p2 [' N/ P5 t
的一些与G-teck 有关的问题:5 }" U5 b& ?& D8 c/ j* R% l4 a& @- _
* Why one organization called “G-TECH” behind the world lotteries?/ P3 J# S+ @2 ^$ K! u
Is it because those world governments cannot afford to buy the) ]8 _1 S3 c  y8 U" @5 F
equipment outright unless G-TECH supplies it to them?" h5 Y; k; x0 g% C
* Why G-TECH collect percentage of the profit from the local operators?
% X/ M7 b- V- ]  w- V* What more is in to lotteries apart from Machines and Balls?9 w& ^8 E# w; X" ^. {2 L& i- N
Could it be software involved?
2 o6 w2 I4 A8 n0 ~4 S1 `* Why world data such as UK, France, Germany, Spain and even USA have the& e) l% S$ m& ~+ ], h+ L! I
same resemblance but never and ever match entirely?* f. h2 |, J) P
* Why satellite terminals are involved if the draws are taking place locally,* ]2 C+ m4 W: @% ?7 `. W! F5 a3 T
is it because to transfer data back to G-TECH for calculations?
9 m8 @. k' [3 t  T* Why there is a minimum of half hour interval from the shut down of terminals
9 o) u+ Q) F/ X3 p" Q2 z  Yto the time draw takes place, what the organizers do during this time?0 ~' R% M8 d, f2 |( u3 X4 M9 f
* How can the local organization running the lottery like Camelot in UK can take. ~- ~, L" R. I! {8 v
their share of sales (%50 I believe) before the draw takes place especially
8 H' s& `* l6 T. ?  [2 Twhere there is a minimum prize of £10 guaranteed? ? How do they know how
: G' s$ ]+ M; y. D* Zmany $10 winners there are to calculate their sums when there is a possibility! s, m% k0 v" W& A
of the number of £10 winners exceed from the total sales?
! X  D8 l1 {. O8 c** 注:据说G-tect理论需要30分钟去完成某些“优化”计算9 P9 X+ E4 C$ G
** 注:理论上讲,过去的中奖号码最多在4500期后就会出现首次重复。
- z! j0 y3 O0 h2 y# _疑问2:曾有人在某彩票玩家网站上贴出下面文字,后来经有心人查证,其作者IP3 ^9 n* m4 A/ q- `
似乎是控制加拿大649、Super7的彩票公司,就是说是彩票公司内部的人发出的...
% ]6 [8 m6 _8 C4 U; K* \Winning numbers how there are selected! y+ f" y% b& H+ s
This is the way we select the winning numbers:; z( [* X" b; U9 I, p
Select "XXX' Numbers_set from Played_numbers+ N* `& e. A% F; S9 C& Q. _4 A
where Province_of_played='XXX' and city_of_played='XXX" and time_of_played='XXX'
* _  @7 U7 l, K7 R  A+ `and Method_of_Played='XXXX'- k* I. G2 X: B% t/ W7 W: B
On each ticket we record the place, the time and the way the numbers have been selected.+ _- j; S" I. Z
We run this query against all played sets.
$ @# q) Y/ i6 F+ l9 CWe then feed the drawing machine with the results, the outcome will always be what we want., V& Y2 i) O( h
For example if we want to have a single winner from Ontario, who played quick pick we run
6 K; G, g* J% b. M3 ~! \( `the following query:' P, D" X. _8 ?( V- }- y' x
Select unique numbers_set from played_numbers5 L* S, ^' \, y7 E3 X9 p  ^
where province_of_played='Ontario' and method_of_played='quick pick';) p( s; }3 u: m9 R* k6 W. V
It just takes less than 5 minutes to get the results.
4 c+ S0 _+ S+ W& ]2 w8 E; @9 ^; u0 K$ bWe prefer players wo play quick pick because our machine predict the numbers.  m: R; W' n' x0 w2 `  }1 R8 H
If we do not want a winner we run the following query:" P# a( i) ~; |
Select unique numbers_set from all_numbers_set where numbers_set not in played_numbers;
) |/ u1 i$ e9 {# @4 w7 q# S上述英文是原文,没经过任何改动。4 F! P" a! y. ]9 [( i+ S' [7 ~2 E4 z
虽然此帖没明说是用在何种彩票上,但后来因为其作者IP的曝光(彩票公司内部人),
8 x0 N6 r1 E# @很让人怀疑加拿大649、Super7的公正性。如果这是真的,很恐怖。* c0 y2 r( E8 L9 E' P- [. K: e$ `
疑问3:为什么现在加拿大彩票公司不实况转播摇奖过程,为什么加拿大彩票公司
: n; D: x& N2 P# v# f0 `. d) N在停止售票1个半小时后才开始摇奖,而且每次摇奖只有几个人参与(一两个摇奖
7 \9 A2 t2 w; M人员加三两个摄录的技术人员)?
  W3 s5 k- K( Q2 d, ]5 G) i* H为什么摇奖过程没有法律公证人员参与、证实?为什么所有玩家购买号不能在摇奖1 b9 l( @5 A. @( c; i& w
前刻在一张非重写的光盘上(体现公正性方法之一)?等等,很多问题。0 S8 l5 R& b6 {- F; G* I6 ^
疑问4:为什么大多数情况下,“中奖者”信息不公开?(有人指出有很多未曝光的重
& w- J, s" R! s8 Q! c2 L复中彩者): U0 p, P, u- h* A
为什么几年前安省649出号与同期加拿大649出号极其相像,远远超过其理论上的
1 C! A& s" }( Y2 N# Z, l- C可能性?: b" N" ?% D; {7 J7 e$ K0 ^7 R
疑问5:为什么彩票公司很多公开年薪超过10万的工作人员,几乎所有人公开的Taxable8 d: k, U1 I+ A/ Y
Benefits只有不到200元?不用上税的Benefits有多少?( Q" j, }# K  \$ I. d
下面附件里包括部分2003年OLGC年薪超过10万的Name、Position、Salary、
% Q/ M% V, |: N4 bTaxable Benefits。其实还有很多的疑问,但以上的疑问足以使一个成熟的人望而
$ t, [/ f( h& t, T3 {止步。我个人的感觉,相比之下真正公正的彩票是天朝的彩票。如果你有成熟的心) @& P" a; Q) i7 D
理素质包容以上疑问,并且还坚持非赌不可,那么你还需要了解一些有关彩票的最
  ]) T; X$ e* Y# r7 V+ N' j9 ~基本的知识。0 h5 S8 m' ~+ D) B' q/ \  y
应该承认,通过适当的分析,是可以大幅度提高中奖机率的。虽然那个玩21点的,. Z/ Z9 t4 \/ i/ g
在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,一个晚上就能赢走90万多美元,但是对彩票
( a# |. R: b7 s* N而言,却完全不是这样。其实对彩票研究而言,提高3%的中奖机率并不困难。比' z& G$ i- }) }9 f& _$ G
如几周前,某人给出20个数字,说明是其后10次加拿大649最佳候选号。结果中5& y1 f- s! y0 H& v
个(或以上)中奖号至少3次以上。
8 e& L) Z+ E" \理论上,49选20中5的几率是3.2153%,此人的结果提高30%以上的中奖机率。可1 V" E- C* I  [4 f0 u3 j' _# Z
结果是他自己最多中了10块钱。原因很简单,彩票可能性的数据量太大,除了专业& o- n0 v& v! c4 l1 O
玩彩的,没有人会每期投入几十万。
' V1 R0 m; L+ G7 t7 G20选6有38760种可能,20选5加另外29选1有449616种可能,每期花$976752,
+ P% v& ~' S/ L8 ^似乎专业玩彩的也不敢这样投。结论是即使你提高了30%的中奖机率,尤其是没有) K! B9 d5 d+ H+ G  [; T
人敢100%保证它的号能每次都达到30%的中5个机率,如果每次买全可能号码,最
; @8 R/ W& d! a0 t! t0 N5 O7 X后你还有70%的机率是赔。
( h, I2 w4 E" J! K$ G即使用旋转矩阵选号,20中5保3也要20个以上,仍然赔。如果不自己选号,去quick
5 O  ]. z; m. z7 ]pick,就是机选,那你几乎是没有什么机会的,即使是10块钱,你也会很难得到。& `1 M% Q' B2 y+ U
且不说上面提到的G-tech保护,首先,理论上的中奖机率就少得很。理论上的机率
8 G/ y8 R: j$ t, d+ J; O也不保证100%中奖机率。" G' a6 c  ?+ @9 @) U
举个具体的649的例子,中3的机率大概是1.765%(或1/57),但你买57张彩票,) H/ X/ y! M- }6 n% t
却不能100%的保证中3。如要100%的保证中3,现在的世界纪录是163,就是最少
  R1 N- W2 E8 O0 H7 s3 D买163张彩票(当然按特定组合了),才能100%的保证你中3个。如果你老能设计. j' @) H+ G9 K4 M: E; k6 Z$ j
一种组合,用低于163的数额就能保证中3,可以去参加Lottery Wheeling9 ]4 {4 L, E- u* C; ~
Challenge,也弄个青史留名。当然,这特殊的163张彩号组合,肯定不会受G-tech
* N, v# y& n& \: z8 ~4 i9 D0 U影响。问题是用163张彩票,$326,去赌$10奖金是否值得。
$ h$ S7 h8 x9 J' ~如果在这时你老还是非赌不可,那么该如何赌呢?不同的人有不同的技术,如果你
. c1 Y7 \/ w3 `) E% E- W1 \* o; W没有白胡子老头托梦告诉你中奖号码,只能多在历史数据里下功夫了。! }: C" p1 S9 P# G; Z3 y/ H
说到彩票研究,会有很多人说是痴心妄想。# S; s) D1 [& C$ g
明白人会用概率理论来说明彩票是不可预测;- G, `$ x3 O( C  r( R6 Q/ L
不明白人会说,如果你能预测,就先来中几千万;
5 Y" v  r' [- x4 h: a, e: \, A' {不明不白的人会说,中大奖的人都活不长,等等。
/ ?3 j$ i$ r1 g5 h4 D, I; l: R且不管这些不同人的心态,仅对彩票本身而论,要研究彩票,只能从历史数据着手,
3 D/ R$ m' l( p, E前提是你要承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有某些联系。
0 z* S7 h0 C* s比如说第2527期彩票中奖号码是20 21 22 29 39 41,那么理论上第2528期的中奖
# U: [1 z! A& F' G% i% Z号码于上期没有任何重复数字的几率是43.6%,有一个重复数字的几率是41.3%。
- L% j( d: v& r& i- J: S6 h! v对所有前2527期结果统计表明,每期与前一期没有重复数字的次数是1086,重复
: J# J0 V/ k* \3 }! ]1的次数是:1047。另一方面,每期与20 21 22 29 39 41比较,没有重复数字的次, a- A0 f2 _" i( t# ?( P0 x
数是1102,重复1的次数是:1040。这些统计结果显示基本与理论结果一致。( S$ \7 a  _" h. j: g
明白人知道这里我想说明什么。
+ X: m3 A& o$ \: X在第2528期中,不同的组合,其出现的机率是不一致的。比如,与2527期重复2或; x( s( c! Q) V- w
大于2的组合,其出现机率要小于15.1%。承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有一定联系$ B) S7 t+ e) r0 V& a/ Z
后,你可以设计不同的参数去分析,其中某些是非常有效的。大家分析同一个对象,3 g% }0 N. M& ~3 \
但具体方法不同,其结论有天地之差。比如国内很多“专家”出书,分析奇偶,目前为
! E, D+ W9 v2 o9 q/ `# Z止,没看到任何实用的分析方法。简单的通过近期奇数个数、偶数个数来判断下期
/ r. D) r9 ?8 Z4 h奇偶分配,简直就是天方夜谭、痴人说梦。对具体的分析对象、分析方法的讨论,6 K& _3 {. V) d8 J3 _; e. l; G
有时间时再听俺下文分解俺自己的心得。也请各位高人帮助填补下面内容。# y. w. J! W0 h3 h, n
小赌可以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民。
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
{:8_286:} {:8_287:} {:8_288:} {:8_289:}
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake:
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