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小分3种情况:
/ V! P) F X) L/ F9 A
: M: r) k- o- ^* o, _# _1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。
, a5 N3 Y2 c/ S0 x5 [2 k+ b$ F/ ]" b4 z1 S) P. J
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
/ x# L u% v6 Y% a- P' I+ h7 }/ D8 ~) y
' z% L" Z1 t: G: H3 E4 I0 ?3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。; ]! J4 W3 a) R
$ c- w7 m, i o! ^& `/ u ^2张牌8或9点的情况有:2 G$ o* d" e7 n* G
[2 _% ?0 E' j1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
; C( r+ Z m! d. b. z% ^
. i8 G# z# F% z3 W% W* b: z1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
! Y6 e! q% Z5 ^* R" b' v+ D( |$ m5 j- F
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/4150 x" z5 [$ @ l/ R
1 y; k# a7 j8 \- a8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415) x# J' ]/ c2 @( [: n2 @
; J; b- ~# n+ @* a) v) h8 W由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
* ]1 h2 V6 _. u* j: @: o1 ]6 _, I4 V
* j: _0 a# E6 y5 n: L" L通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。* K* |) k, A8 o
" H" R2 y x5 T" P' }" `- B
那么我们可以得出
* n4 l/ G3 |" A# S* f+ x, a7 n7 f
3 c: U* h) s0 D! S/ O! e1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662" G% m6 L3 d- j5 F) K
& y; }; I4 I4 C2 G
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 ; M! U; u) @# N7 E3 f& L% K [* X
1 R& P6 T u% p/ x2 s
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.0358854912 x; [) c5 Z1 _8 e; ^2 X
( B# k. J7 k, J- t
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
& I0 R- ^3 K [
# s; b+ a: q$ ?1 Z4 X4 n6 `百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
' J6 e' z V/ S: }. e/ s) p |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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