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[lastpost] => 2750219 【星宝】7月18日投注流水2100元 1752905302 rainwang
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小分3种情况:
, X- m9 F. X! A2 Z# q2 {. }' s4 z; s8 k
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。4 X+ G0 x! m5 ~8 x" k" U4 a: f5 s
( p' {3 ^: T- S( t$ r2 [/ g6 f
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。9 Y6 C- S+ Y$ T2 c3 H: Q
1 w/ z. g2 q+ |7 G3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。: ?+ O* a8 J$ d5 J% l% E
& F( H1 r& K5 U# O+ o! v2张牌8或9点的情况有:
/ I" |- n0 G5 p% c o
) t V3 u; } ]. \1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10$ M# B. M8 P: f' x
2 R( V' H$ D- z* m1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
) o$ a- H9 d5 q- h3 \1 L3 S ], Z! H/ U4 t% w: T
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415/ z! m5 K( P% E' G. F% Q
; C2 ?: W3 O& X3 U+ M1 a
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
7 E- u) z4 u& n% C; Q
. l1 M+ b% r# t, c由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
9 M3 t7 p2 B# y4 I. U
' {6 L% ?' }' T( d7 N+ j3 K通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。/ M0 s; p. _. J! H) q1 t. q n: `
4 I" R D' F) S4 U c& N
那么我们可以得出
! ^/ F* C3 g4 Y7 E, ^# P6 t' M2 R/ X3 e5 }
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
) I% @' L9 M; |
1 X5 v) d$ ~ k2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 " S9 k/ r7 Y- N8 U5 i% a
: S$ Q* E! R& C8 i) E. w3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491- o5 p5 ~0 u p$ M% Z6 R
6 |: J/ [$ j9 s/ G: s' G+ o9 U% ^$ ?所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.3788693232 K: D$ n# i& k+ E3 \ D
1 y! M0 c7 E w9 W" P- Z
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.6211306773 V( q/ s! c R/ ~
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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