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小分3种情况:
, ]6 ]1 K4 H8 o! z; D: f
/ {0 ]5 T, a2 \7 `1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。
- v" P5 v, r8 u9 c5 d: s: W+ |
9 r) o! q: [; R3 L2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
7 I7 b8 ^ i, R8 X9 \: f7 l" |& c9 [& \; u2 K9 D" \5 d
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。
: d( |) g) ~. q/ Q( N5 M$ i
& O& Z; J- \& ?' U7 g* e2张牌8或9点的情况有:) M8 h, M Q) Z3 w# C4 I9 u' [
$ x2 E t4 n; |1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
z$ A4 B2 E6 z9 i h; e" q# }, J! z
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
# I2 x! y) i7 i$ D- t b1 j6 x/ m
9 A8 x( [, _& d4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
) A. S0 z# g$ d9 g
7 K N/ @4 h% n( q+ O8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
$ l% u# _: K; m$ X1 C# }9 S8 a
' h+ [2 G2 x: ~2 @由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。9 p G- h# ~0 `2 O* N+ R
# ^' v2 Z( O. h" u. W! P
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
% U+ ]+ g" h4 H, w; ^( j0 y7 B' G$ u' A4 B l: ], l9 |# @
那么我们可以得出1 E' ?, ~' Y+ k, m
8 l; ~1 `- Y, ^$ G( a! M3 Y2 ^% P: U
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
/ w- t- B6 H4 B2 D/ _( c1 f# q( N. B2 d2 y- ?& S
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171
* T1 F- b6 z! Y3 y
3 m9 H* {1 \# _3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.0358854916 D# Q$ u, F+ j, P
8 r! B/ y. ?0 Y h. W* o4 m6 A& l所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
! h L& r i4 [- Z/ c4 Q- e
6 C4 q+ w9 [) }6 V! ~2 Y# F K5 [9 w/ D百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
8 Q. m' s2 c- ]9 V |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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