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[lastpost] => 2765323 虚拟资产风投解开“紧箍”,韩国加密创业春天要来了?(转) 1757762934 mattf
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势
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' C6 p: C3 O; S) r6 }* u过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。
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$ ]/ L! e, B' A tPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
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CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。& ^4 o S+ i' [7 P V) c
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2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
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' V( R& g _) q: B; _当前持仓成本:8 }) `& o3 ~/ A' y7 o/ v$ t0 E6 z
6 H7 a) l# ~. J6 Q+ S5 g机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右; ?2 d+ D4 ~7 ]) q8 V" s* b
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微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;' D* G1 o$ L. k1 o# b/ ` N y
5 k9 S" P3 ]- ]0 R* Y6 r/ QETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
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比特币价值回归:
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' e5 U* Q# R8 \. \# w市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。- W# Q" C8 ^) f) ^6 ?& J
. z3 x4 ]6 b" u& p8 z8 b( L" ?随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
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6 Z" c& O2 t. r! R( O加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
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6 s4 m# v5 P# K3. 市场热点与反弹情况
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虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。+ h! h, N- [& T" J
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机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。! T. j5 Y# z$ j: Z* ~2 B
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BTC:7 ]4 J, ?& y) C. Z1 `" m
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尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。# A$ u5 s. `" A
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如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。
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5 `. [/ k! N. @* |/ ZSOL与XRP:
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SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
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: _# X+ F* B0 o" r/ E% BXRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。; \4 Q Q, V' {
! r: s$ n/ b* F9 _, d其他热点项目:
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0 g x# H+ O& }+ a0 f涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。) G8 |! v: B+ |
! y; e( A8 P4 K8 o/ Z9 V山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。) L6 z; S4 h. ?/ `; i
; T L$ Q/ q6 o, e5 N% L" } ]4. AI赛道与新兴项目
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1 j/ h8 |3 |" `" _2 a0 tAI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。
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蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。5 z% {& K3 K6 a. ^8 J
( U. \6 ^& S: D. s$ b6 c新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。: B6 V6 f$ a1 I( E
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市场展望( E; Z8 T2 z2 Z# X. q' `
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随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。( `3 c* }, g. w m7 e6 w H
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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