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[lastpost] => 2750705 比特币成“救国神器”？英财政部想靠72亿美元加密资产填财政缺口 1753374021 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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- ]/ c3 ? t* k# N5 o! ~1 r 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。1 `, X3 s3 D& [; {' K( o( [' W3 F
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。; u3 d7 Q9 H$ U9 a+ N3 `7 J. G) R
2 y) I, e2 R% B' Q+ _8 `( _' ^ 市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。* W2 g( N+ @. h' V( \. X
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2 r! s# Z% _7 i/ B- s1 B- Z 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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/ S( J ^% }2 ]( I) Z, B/ y; ]( i 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，. l' C# ]( H$ b) D- y, C
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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. N( d$ I; q6 s1 h “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间9 g0 y& O! ]" m+ F/ A: {5 N
6 ~2 P) `9 l# M' C框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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& n3 |1 u: }/ Y2 l* e. \积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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7 T( f* ^1 d- Z( }3 F9 }6 N# Z 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。' ^- U3 r! b3 L) w4 A: |0 E
& I& W: k, C% r 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。
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( {, S; l/ Q/ U& I) d 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势% M5 d* I) g# X( I
9 ^4 w2 t" T, w. ? 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。+ ?/ O$ D; v$ |8 _, ?+ o( _5 W* _4 w' a/ {
9 g: g* l6 _& Q6 S$ T& X! W' R. _ 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，( Y# w1 j5 c8 m; w: `
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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