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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境; q% S0 B% ~/ e- `3 n5 X
Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破' D- ]! J% n3 e! B
似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。
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实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。" [( y8 @6 Z4 a8 E* s" H2 z, a
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这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。! k6 ]8 O! r9 G- W. g' V
3 D K a! P; Q2 g3 Z% M! f$ k5 _在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。% r3 K5 ]0 K8 k* W% ^5 R
; `" `& F m; ~' [, n& {红色海洋中的四个幸存者4 q5 l5 R+ v( y6 K4 \
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。
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简而言之,表现不佳。
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大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。; K* @* R& u! L$ `/ L
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。& ~0 d# |, H6 P
|: |7 t! d1 V C5 n自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。
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, m+ b i+ ]; j6 nAltcoin信誉的消失法案! S {1 `, P' x7 `
滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。, f; @( E P) X0 _: B( U
; ?% I1 i Z Y" O/ ?交易的势头最近也消失了。& y N D8 W& K4 K# j
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12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。" g! F c! {) A4 a3 k0 [* G) q
6 x, h7 j6 ^% k% _5 I这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。
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十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。
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比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。" [, N7 @8 P$ m6 W
: [. P& A: S0 R0 B3 \. Q" B当高峰转向警告时% e& [4 T6 p2 r. s- [9 I
2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。2 C! l3 [% }# o% x
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比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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3 n; |: |: r% `( } `$ c这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。
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8 Q' t$ C) _4 N' s+ B每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。
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& y; l' D- j) a2 U比特币还是胸围?3 a# u# R$ e2 D
存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。5 v0 K- A' h, r. s
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就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。
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