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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境
x* }; S( J7 c# k. ?5 t3 B) F' [& D$ QStablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破
8 T1 a2 j2 Q( w7 L9 A9 U似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。
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实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。9 z1 v" u% G$ C1 x; w
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这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。) n+ q$ f) E" r4 \! |! p& ^
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在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。0 ~9 t! |' `& ], f# C% ]
& B; m* G$ x5 Q$ b2 t3 r红色海洋中的四个幸存者. O# z u: T/ T+ J2 H5 Q% P# H
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。
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简而言之,表现不佳。
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$ H. _5 T% f& w' c e大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。$ [9 Q+ B1 p3 d: Y/ C. [
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自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。
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Altcoin信誉的消失法案! {1 V9 M# W( v6 b
滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。
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交易的势头最近也消失了。
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1 S; Z' V2 |, T/ J7 _; Y12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。" i* u! O5 ] m6 N- x
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这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。
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十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。- I. O; g. Y q" _
5 s% t' d9 y9 _2 T; B. V. r比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。
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当高峰转向警告时0 Z O, F7 I j& \- G# W
2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。' K1 O" T) r1 @% n; J+ T
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比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。. h% A) n4 {" N& R& R1 T2 j
, ~% d; g+ V: }: M% u$ n% O( S* `; s这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。( k }7 g$ `4 ^
7 k, |/ {4 o2 g: w* Z! ~每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。* Q" x2 o( f; M" E4 O: B/ g
4 t8 h: z1 p% p, _8 i# ^0 h, u比特币还是胸围?
! \6 o9 i+ g- f+ e X& Y: s存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。6 W1 w( P% J# p* D4 u+ d- ~- j3 o
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就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。' B( h0 e6 H( j+ U0 b7 _
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