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[lastpost] => 2752882 Cardano 创始人称 ADA 未来可涨 1000 倍，比特币不行（转） 1753814208 jackcool1011
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。
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# L: o- @4 H9 c! V" W4 f* }1 G 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
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$ I! Q0 z0 v. s. T8 O& m$ C& R4 ~市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。
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0 [. ^7 u' k' J, z$ d 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而# Y, Z9 Z3 u ^) Q/ ]" ]
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“短期看空”比特币。
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“在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已
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实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”# u8 i& T; W) ~% ~7 }3 v
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报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。7 ?* P |' H* n2 k! ]7 _
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2 b0 Y- K; G1 Y# q) y/ N) @ 根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
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* r9 v7 C4 ~+ _9 s8 E而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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% d2 s9 j N+ z6 q BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的6 l- f; y$ ~- B3 w" G2 v
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”7 _. k# ]/ @* p( N! C
0 w' [5 z$ \2 W6 i “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，* n8 C& `) Z. ?. g) d. ]
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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