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[lastpost] => 2751145 首尔豪赌：加密资产能否重塑韩国经济未来？（转） 1753236684 洋森
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。' B+ p. W$ x+ I* o: O( `9 O" k
5 u8 N2 ~( c$ }# Q8 F 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
k1 H* @" g. \6 I4 _
7 f$ V7 C6 c1 B ?( O市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。% |8 u" l$ p% S9 ]
( Y4 c/ I$ \4 u1 ~ 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而6 Q b. Y/ q5 Z+ I+ E/ V
0 N0 \: L P! f" C. X, ?“短期看空”比特币。0 W. N' M5 h5 w3 M H
5 j& }4 D$ E* A% g9 A# `/ h “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已
% Z6 n: d# z: e; z$ V8 s
; h6 Y% P7 Q- Z" q% G: {实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”
/ U+ C& S" E- ^) e5 k3 S
% f4 H5 r# n% z; b 报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。3 ?( W3 K" y! V: u! a) Z
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根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
% @* T4 z2 w6 X* E2 ]# ^6 O
/ ~( p8 R2 [, { X" B& s0 S5 b2 Q4 q而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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/ i k) _4 c5 K; z6 c6 G9 | BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的 r9 X. W; R1 G1 i' z' a
. c) z9 I. k, E0 Z利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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“尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，1 n. p1 B. e5 @6 A% m( @
3 w# ]7 v0 ]- u/ [将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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