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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗?(转)
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的:
. d* P/ L+ P' r1 J% }7 V" R至少有以下几个原因:( ~5 |; Z( C" E5 y5 \
- x" E+ I% ], c. L/ I# b- x# w& h
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。4 @9 Y0 g0 |& N8 P6 ?
! I; p: L; j: j& V在没有完全去中心化的方案之前,最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化3 R0 ^4 q4 o8 d" r
& j0 L$ u, d, a/ n! }) \+ j
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC,目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
& Z- k4 K$ [: @/ l
$ m; N/ E D. c6 d" F8 m( E# @ O出现后(如BEVM),预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上,体量可以达到7 W0 M6 k* @+ s
. u" l/ P' n0 [
325亿-650亿美金,远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL(该数" r% W* v8 }0 J, m( C& }
3 v- D3 f; ~7 y7 ^% Y据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产,实际跨链的ETH远没有0 A9 E8 F& K& Q/ C& w8 c
9 V' V9 v7 ]: z. b2 E& h B; N7 @1 P达到200亿美金)
+ @8 q( W3 E2 o) p
3 E6 \6 z6 x9 [) \$ w2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的,因此,比特币要发展生态比以太坊
) C9 C6 k; F3 b+ M
" p8 ]; j: L- t5 J更需要Layer2,因此,未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化) B, k% a% ~( l
- T6 c- u- E3 L3 z
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
1 m X* G* ~& e+ A/ A/ f& }5 b+ a7 w
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查,更容易获得用户尤其大
" ^4 w! e7 M! O) q' E) Z& H N
/ T f* A# n- N, o, E1 w' |资金的信任和青睐。
: z8 l# Y( f) S \7 J$ e/ @
+ b- s+ r+ o: M4 H4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍,目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美' X- M1 T% f, r8 E
& A- B8 |: ?1 r5 ]! m( Y0 U, L金,约占以太坊市值的10%;按照同样的比例,如果未来10%的BTC进入
- Z2 B8 M5 [# j9 `3 D# Y# L6 q5 o( `# I
比特币Layer2,整个TVL将达到850亿美金,是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
8 j' P- S0 |5 \3 O K; Z
* h2 f# W; F2 R+ x2 F* T' X |
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