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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：& X M. J& b2 Q5 @# f3 ]
至少有以下几个原因：2 g* U( w9 Z8 J$ Q
( @! r& `& f: z! e1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
" \- [1 d' G7 T# s& ^' A) a/ S* [$ T1 Q# \) i! s
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化4 A$ d5 {7 x+ M0 }0 F/ m
3 Y, V6 Y) I# s1 D机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
2 T9 P# V5 d7 K1 h4 `, E2 M. [3 {$ L% B) j" e! x4 l5 [5 |# T
出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到: C' T' [# u& b
0 o7 h7 x" n# {, R( R ?
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
& a! {3 ^" D- [- @, K7 x! ^1 \0 e; t4 [4 ^
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有$ J e! y0 G0 o8 w) u$ e: n
2 x( f/ \ e* Y( V
达到200亿美金）
. Y8 d1 q$ C4 t0 L% X
& l# q. o2 o7 U i! \+ y2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
. |1 h1 H7 I3 ~# v
9 m/ G+ c3 U% O2 D5 R$ N$ L更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化# y, u7 Y, ?0 @1 l" h7 r1 e' s
Q) _. E R/ X* o6 q的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
+ }# q8 u6 P% U8 a/ B: @& g! l
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
7 K4 ]' J4 i! @3 z: R7 C; J% E8 B' u' B, [' j ]
资金的信任和青睐。
! s G" V' R1 a# m! w( u& C s" k4 H4 L7 ^
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
' D5 [* ~9 s5 _+ d1 g/ h4 d V2 q. ^4 I0 B7 B* y- [ c
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入/ t; q; G3 d- s& j! z; D! O" n. n
7 Q- _' V2 p8 b4 R
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。& h% W. e8 T- x8 `
$ ]% z- O. X& y- I/ i |
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