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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份+ Z" `$ r7 j. s, w
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。
6 |6 r5 c' K/ J3 B5 k美元抛售推高比特币$ p* Y) G. K: j. d- K9 O/ p3 V
, [2 h! q" m& B; I) U5 O
Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。0 Q2 z% ~$ P8 D1 K1 }4 \$ Y
3 q) r) I1 c+ M“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”8 }! H0 c7 N+ B1 Q* q
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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3 o9 e8 p$ M S+ |数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。6 D' | h ?! a2 i
$ ]& H7 g5 j9 A, C; ~Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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( E8 r8 l* Z; }. x$ S. i, ^* P( k高黄金和比特币的价格。( I: q$ c3 n* r x! [- B
7 ]$ r9 l ]% [; R下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。
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& f4 G7 F! H7 {这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。
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, p' M6 s# s3 ]6 W* @3 B然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，' F/ O% M3 S2 p$ r% ~& Y
- v) R0 f/ _( @( g* j' L“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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, Y1 M2 j2 x( A% L9 C分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。3 l2 O% |) c9 d1 W, r+ D
: b! _, L& m: \ D9 j“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”( k3 G2 h! U S3 T
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交. c2 Z# s0 Y* V2 P1 e3 u1 H
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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