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[lastpost] => 2750445 比特币交易员注意！——为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752905946 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份' I& ^& q$ S, u- B7 V6 q( {3 k
' o% k# Q- M' n1 k4 d报告中特别强调了这一论断。. d" C4 K( s2 D
美元抛售推高比特币
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。
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- u2 N0 s) [7 n# M* l1 ^“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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0 G, C9 a' L: a1 U5 s0 p9 I根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。+ B1 x; `6 J4 D- W1 ~' r% Z
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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3 i/ N' P, m) P7 I: J5 w/ j下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化( A- V7 R: r' o% r# t" |- x
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剂。- [* p3 e% g7 M& z, K% }! B2 W
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破7 n+ i2 v& S: H2 t( [+ ?- P' ~
h$ |1 T( u8 n5 a了8.7万美元。7 ]" E. }3 {) E
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，5 l8 n2 b0 ]$ y: A
}2 i% Z" b3 C0 C“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”1 ~4 _: W. A( p
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$ p8 [1 r7 O( o+ \7 z/ M, C! |! E2 a- b分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。. L ~" E- _( e" S1 H. A8 u
x8 \7 k8 i6 L5 c& X) b“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”# { d* `6 { p& t/ q3 ?
( m- I1 x% }9 i8 h' e/ iCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交0 z' N/ B% I3 Y2 V' u. e7 @
: V' @% D; D1 q" ]" w. g) G! c易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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