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认同“学坏”朋友的计算,骰子投注单一数字,获胜率为50%正,DC没有抽水
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本帖最后由 76gor 于 2012-11-21 11:58 编辑 , s8 ^$ o4 `. l) P. R9 S" z  H2 [

- L8 _+ M2 |/ Z3 V1 t刚刚认真计算了一次;
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* d1 D8 Q9 R( n! A0 F* B假设我每次都是平注投注数字 "6" , 获胜率的计算如下:
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0 R! @* |! L$ |开3个”6“的几率:(1/6)* (1/6)* (1/6)  =  1/216;  @7 ^/ h. U$ T; x. R% O- v
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开2个”6“, 因为有三个组合的可能性,所以几率是:(1/6)* (5/6) * (1/6) *3 = 5/72
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+ z9 z1 E+ ], s; q开1个”6“,几率是: 1-(5/6 * 5/6 * 5/6) - 5/72 -  1/216 = 25/72
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( J# I, s, h$ e  A3 t" K收益率:(1/216 *3) + ( 5/72*2)+ 25/72 = 0.5
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所以,平注一直投注,基数无限大时,获胜的几率确实为50%整;7 Q: V& ?" G/ k% l$ S& K9 s
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加上反水,假如有耐心,存个几万,聘请一个人,五块五块的压,那么长期下来,你的收入就等于你的反水率;
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+ u. S7 E. H/ y/ j. x# s以上,76gor
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我试试再深入探讨一下,已经确定赢输几率为50%,假如DC不禁止单边投注,没有信誉问题,以波音平台骰子反水0.8%计算;  B  `% q6 [5 H" a9 C- Z* ]$ N; |7 ~

& V" R7 _6 ?. F. c假设存款100A, 每次投注50元单数字(20000注本金),以波音骰子30秒一局计算,& h; v9 H( @* m

6 ~7 z& t2 b" }6 t" k一天流水为: 50*2*60*24 =¥144,000: b$ P7 P+ ]0 s6 @
每天反水为:144000*0.008=¥1,152
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假设聘请3个人,轮班工作,每个人一天工资¥150,加上电费,每天支出为:¥500
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每天净收入为:¥652% R  ?( w* g6 n" j6 \: i) `
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年收入为:¥237,980
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唯一难度在于,有100A的人不一定愿意这样赚钱;+ s. e8 f# @8 l- B! ]; n5 A
唯二风险在于聘请的人不按章工作,或者DC跑路;
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回复 2# 76gor ( F' C7 w" H: m- o; L2 {- P
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   这都能想到,真服了你了。。。;P
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感谢76分享阿
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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
最近流行探讨这个话题?
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哈哈,楼主被误导了,
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最近流行探讨这个话题?- e- ?- F0 K0 e5 |: Y
Terrance 发表于 2012-11-21 12:22
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    竟然有不抽水的赌戏,还是挺有意思的
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哈哈,楼主被误导了,1 k: o, H# G& c1 |/ G4 K( |& n
beata 发表于 2012-11-21 12:24

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2 }3 G) Y, g3 U# s    请指教,我们只聊几率哦
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76哥  那这么说 骰宝还真适合打首存优惠啊?
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楼主分析得好厉害啊
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刚刚认真计算了一次;
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假设我每次都是平注投注数字 "6" , 获胜率的计算如下:
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0 _* C! D$ M+ e" j9 L0 B; D- `开3个”6“的几率:(1/ ...& v# b9 a5 i5 a/ m# o
76gor 发表于 2012-11-21 11:54
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' J$ X7 Z- L7 m' l! V/ K$ b楼主再仔细想想吧百家乐是公认的抽水最低的游戏
, ]- b8 P& V% y3 d大概是1%多点
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: ~! E; X9 K( c4 I% W/ q4 i至于你现在说的这个抽水其实是相当高的
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楼主再仔细想想吧百家乐是公认的抽水最低的游戏
, m9 H! O5 ?: `$ g# h大概是1%多点
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& f# x$ ^  q# _5 b9 q% V' x至于你现在说的这个抽水其实是相当 ...2 n5 ^8 ]1 r' ~
taishan 发表于 2012-11-21 12:27
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- {, S6 q: o: o5 ]    请指教
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楼主分析不错哦 学习下
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看起来不错,不过没钱实施
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76哥  那这么说 骰宝还真适合打首存优惠啊?
. J9 {1 L& Z+ N/ Y粤D 发表于 2012-11-21 12:26
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    自问没有计算错误,确实适合磨流水,唯一风险是振幅和DC不允许
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回复 15# 76gor , S4 l% W5 g9 j0 z1 |4 ~

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& |# R2 V, _" T0 P* m   有个风险就是豹子吧!
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回复  76gor
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   有个风险就是豹子吧!2 W- q( G- H0 ~5 I( Y+ f
粤D 发表于 2012-11-21 12:30

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2 ^! d0 C# H' X+ o( D" ^2 Z2 R8 B    不是说豹子只杀大小和单双吗?那样的话豹子就不是风险了
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