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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
) O" r1 n. j) e! k. M/ M& l, L( d5 _
; u2 @* {" w A E, s3 }2 m其实原文标题不是这样的4 U' h& l6 Z9 d) f$ v( Q i) n
8 k8 l w5 i, `$ p' M$ r这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
' @) c. w5 v( N! \他希望能和上帝来场赌局。) G- ]2 m! k9 _. a$ x5 d N1 t
+ Q7 Q& T9 w2 T6 `% H! R
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。$ ^( M$ }2 ?; M' C) z& I
/ `# [9 Q$ f( S" Z& K' T& c7 ] 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
4 o$ P+ L3 ?4 @: V" B2 k: b
x6 x+ n2 g9 v「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
6 N9 N% r* I. S: a0 ~& {3 R「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
) U( }% I8 u* [( V: Q, g& c/ V: [1 _2 r+ K) p1 A; _4 b! o. P
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。* `, ^1 Y# F, s/ g: s
. g1 a4 U) \0 h6 M接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
0 \ |1 t2 o2 \, C1 r. k3 ?因此铜板较容易出现正面。2 j3 Y+ E) e; r+ P1 X% L
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 8 N g; s/ ]7 D6 _
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。8 { _- Z7 o. L% C3 D
心想赢定了。, n/ ^9 V& [! \* F) h
" E3 l4 ^* z2 O) _& S% y" x+ T没想到开始不到半刻钟，. P5 o, i9 i z3 g5 ~$ i
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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2 Z j3 V" N1 s赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
6 i, Z3 `/ n8 |8 U4 e* F0 n但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
$ }0 b% a/ {. U
. r0 @) v9 z1 _9 X4 u赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?# l1 Z1 |% }& N5 s% Z
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：
% k1 B$ _9 D% ^. S4 L G「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」: |+ c2 M1 ~! E+ f. j0 \
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」; {" f% K M/ x, X% C) [0 l+ X
「而不是先发生在我身上。」( ]( L( E" X& W ?$ e
# r5 {( i. k8 V+ } 赌徒恍然大悟，0 t/ Y# w; J2 w8 W* |. y
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
2 T; j; }, [' c- r) N7 c( u竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！, ?0 v: N7 h+ z3 k4 M( G2 |
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
8 L! b: H) U3 L+ g: b9 c. h* t上帝说完便不见踪影。
& B! z9 w# g, B% V1 \4 W- G% B0 l
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，& {& Y2 G+ w8 p8 a0 Q6 `1 } h4 j
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，6 i7 W5 O* `- C
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，+ [7 y: y7 b) G2 F8 v
对赌徒十分有利。) M W8 z0 m* y" ^* `- U
/ K4 j$ R% |7 l# Q& }$ r( W但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，7 Y- ~3 |3 b1 G9 M
在还没掷到1000次之前，1 X" N5 Z3 C# F' b
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
+ S! \% F4 m9 [' o! R/ f9 k& T" n; i+ r) F0 m/ ?& P% E0 ?
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
1 t& P2 v: p: j% ~( `
+ t1 L# F4 z' `; p, P 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。7 B- S* \$ U- \" ~
) q7 Z1 j- h, }; g3 e
市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，( p {) N' ]& c1 f, N+ A# r) L
! g6 S8 G2 g2 h6 K: \ 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ 8 }; `/ U8 { Q2 B
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