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方向对了、点位略微出现偏差。
# I4 r i. C/ S' U+ O8 G' e现在要强调的并非熊市不言底、
. q% Y8 m# j8 J H也不是cpi暴雷问题！
# R% \0 G- Y6 e: \% S/ \1 l
% L F; y. p( L( \而是当本月最大利空落地后，市场依旧一泻千里。
% T( i, z4 k. |: s. j g失守去年注水5.19低点后、以太再次以该支撑出现夭折行情。 " R( N/ F# g7 H2 h$ d+ M. |& w1 f
三箭资本借以太利好、频繁加持，最终近20亿未偿还债务。
- z1 K( l, ?1 X% H市场机构、除灰度外、其余任何机构基金都出现大幅比未实现亏损。及更多清算问题，
% q" ~6 E3 D8 u0 ~6 k2 S+ @市场已不仅仅是恐慌问题。 0 v$ P7 O' D6 C
而是与美股对比、市场整体对加密的估值出现了动摇！ r# J# e, ~0 j8 O; y
除开泡沫多、市场会重新定义加密价值。 & A7 w: y4 B# P1 O2 [% v& I
直白的说，
9 ~; ?& n( M4 Z1 W& ?8 [* b1 j市场借助这轮加息，重新洗牌。
x7 O7 k f& P2 A, V2 l1 a4 s下一轮牛市，周期会十分长。
* O, K) `! ~& F& p* S即使加息结束，69000高点，很难在下一轮牛市形成。
4 P# L4 D# k# K0 F1 |但切记，即使是这样，现货也不建议割肉。 / W- i4 k2 D3 c: H6 ]- {
被套躺平、长线布局等cpi稳定。 : f: Q/ j5 \# A$ H5 z$ }' ^
短线不追空，不抄底，反弹空。 9 r; _2 m, O; M1 {1 _: G( C6 v
跟趋势走，跌透为止。 + P: ^4 m3 l0 `" I# Y* ?
老观点，周线实体阴线，未收下影。
: g! d) {- u- \3 D下周铁定惯性下行，收阳概率极低。
5 S& l# y0 H' m' _环境不允！氛围不允。利空之下，更无资金接力可能。 / R% n) K5 F* Y& \6 E: y2 F) E" {
夜里继续以反弹4小时近5日线做高空埋伏、 & ?4 a, L- d7 e: D) [7 i6 l
大饼反弹至18900高空
4 b% B/ O) `6 Z. d1 [补仓19100 防守19300
! t& g2 @/ j# W+ y# b5 C: K目标18100-17950
2 u$ M7 M0 a% \2 ~; Z7 J破位17650
4 J/ a: \- Y7 B持续下看至17000 * O5 Y* o, I4 }7 f
以太反弹至985-995高空补仓1018
# N3 V$ a4 F5 |0 C1 @0 H l: Z1 g防守1030 % f/ U8 q4 n/ [+ E
目标910-890
7 k3 L% @9 O2 J: @ O( G% q还没出现日线大幅度插针、将现阶段所有不利消息一次跌透。开空，仍不晚。
* }- ^ Z3 _) o6 d9 e* g; [5 u熊市不言底，市场估值出现问题，新一轮洗牌。 " I- f% a1 r7 J$ t5 D; c
还有尾声机会。
5 \5 t! s) A% x; d再晚一点，就只能做横盘箱体。 4 Q' k; H, v" O' Q# Q) b
来源：金色财经 |
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