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[lastpost] => 2770290 参议员 Lummis 表示参议院正在就加密税规则取得进展（转） 1759255986 小钱儿
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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 3 W6 W* t/ ~7 `1 O+ L
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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- {) w2 t# k! r' r: j& Z7 @) J专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 ( a7 E8 j( D$ k
% M5 M- n3 K- U6 p+ _: ~( D& N有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技' S5 d" v; S! K. f
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股等风险较高的投资。
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储: V) ?# b7 c* F4 z: R/ h5 J
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明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 $ o* y4 L- k- L; @# z& C% C
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现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动' Y9 w; t1 _3 X4 s# z& g7 Y
! [2 q8 j) ~) ~6 w. f因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 % o) V5 ^) v1 O' i
- \# O) f! L# s" D从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 . w, H; t& ^! N
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更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此( }: i1 F+ ]! G7 Y
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仍有许多交易商可能买入。 & e+ n+ G- f) d4 i0 ]8 T4 h( A
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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8 i1 Q) s3 ^1 Y! O- S推动力之一。
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02
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有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 / h, G) }9 [% ^& v4 v
* F# l$ m8 O! n$ I8 l需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 7 ^( ]7 [9 x4 \, e, r E. f
* K1 X; c/ U4 a3 W加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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Z, l1 z, K) m7 x8 m4 ]数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
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( n2 T( g- T$ i- Y( ~7 V今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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