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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
. H4 i' N5 i( c# X至少有以下几个原因：( N' ]8 g- C B8 c, O: Q" |
& e: a2 V# W7 j
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。0 Z3 e K' V3 i- F, G, ], h0 `
. J# i9 r! M% k: Y5 q& e3 A! o1 C在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化( a0 L! Q3 m. r" E1 X# l
# q; K0 w/ T/ f+ M0 g, `; @
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
4 s9 X9 a; O$ v# d: H
, w* e$ {5 F' K出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
3 \* u J& a, |2 c% y; ^8 \8 J' x( J4 ^/ t: G
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数 a `9 j5 n. j
! ]) i& J7 n9 A据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有" j) l$ ]3 k! w: Z0 K
6 l$ n+ o3 r5 g+ G+ e
达到200亿美金）7 h7 L9 L6 i2 O B$ c0 ^( M
$ i' o% n4 a( K0 |2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
3 M( A: a. S* G2 E/ ?1 v; q( \ _5 s, o% a% C- B: P' W# s2 T
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
1 j8 ^) N8 n7 ?. D' T/ L8 R
' Z9 w' t; C7 ^4 Y% ]% Q的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
+ g1 C& Q% E! {- R# m% E( u5 a' s2 y9 T9 N O. m0 k3 K R
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
3 S5 f" K/ D1 |) j
3 [) _) e7 e( ^4 ]2 Y资金的信任和青睐。9 Z" t$ |' C9 R/ p" b
6 V. s% n K# X' U! G1 F8 J% k4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
, J0 N3 u' M* X+ n3 y4 e- G* Z G
7 @7 F. _% R9 p( r6 o金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入) ?! p% ^+ K% U
. B* M1 {# j( `5 N* ]) Y比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
7 x/ s& w3 _6 a! ^9 a
9 e% `) Q4 r6 c! r; [$ h* Z |
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