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[lastpost] => 2750037 用比特币吃芒果糯米饭？泰国推出「加密旅遊沙盒」计划，游客可换数位泰铢畅游全国~ 1752903402 AOU1888
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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# e% k N- _( l8 S0 k 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。9 U1 t% x6 d+ i# W( `
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( I! I r+ a9 q( p$ I$ r 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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2 @: W$ P/ k$ L, i& ?$ I( T8 p) Z* @ Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。" v; i" O% F$ N/ x) M7 C
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。# H5 W: I! T! o0 L; j1 ]
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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% \% \7 w' N1 o" a: r) d% e 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，2 W/ `" u: b C; ?# ~! I* q
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。4 V5 i9 N3 r# ?9 T/ j! u( J
! g: O# @; C$ O$ `2 {1 m “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”" h" Q) H) e+ _: Y
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。5 [ R0 p$ j+ |* M
( }4 B- y3 {. [1 ~ “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在3 K A" c. I7 T
( w. y' u9 y% S积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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) V: Q& i7 ^3 U% n8 i! { 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。
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8 E! a( J( A" C8 e Q6 P- c 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势& A# {6 d) i: B6 ^
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。" _ O8 [% e; a; {, O2 e0 S
# m/ _1 V9 K( @! ~ b: r 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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. Z$ W' {+ X" x# e2 ?2 K4 o 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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