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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份7 }# E3 E+ A+ z
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。
" w* E- A9 B, P" O' f* l* N美元抛售推高比特币8 {8 ]$ ^9 d" K" ], `4 B
3 p4 D# S+ o9 jGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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; r) L6 u0 z) J0 j% N3 {来的最低水平。! A$ G2 h" s# Q) C1 v9 Z# ]
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指( B7 \9 w G( s$ ` m& E
8 v1 D) O6 _. m X; K( c8 _; q数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。( L: X. r5 j3 G+ I' _
! U$ g; R( _0 g9 L TAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化! u( M% |5 ^" U* ~
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5 O8 ~' d/ w) a. D9 ?9 _- c这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。. [% @+ A% r7 \% k" X( j" I
1 Q' C3 g0 \+ k0 T) X然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”* s- C* G; e% D- D i% Z) H+ [
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。' d: P" u+ M0 D0 w6 q
! T1 L; i/ s% k* A3 o( B“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”9 E0 K9 t8 @8 P$ A8 ?
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交2 c/ b* L) x3 H5 g
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。$ o* z+ H7 {$ P' y
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