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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ( l0 t# [7 O9 o e
x `; h K& b6 ]2 {
其实原文标题不是这样的% x# i- S3 t8 L0 W
8 W6 `2 l- i' V' X; }
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!" Z" e9 A) B/ ?" S1 D% l4 a7 ~
0 R7 \; V! g- B/ v
$ K4 c: p9 ?# f$ O* a" E' i
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
7 z) ^4 q: I2 [9 B3 U他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
+ u: G2 S$ `4 [3 n. h0 d) i+ g- ]% W
& x1 p5 T0 R" F 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
v% ^+ `5 \& s% | e' W
0 `+ D8 A+ l6 e$ A5 F* N4 d0 \, g 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
6 X+ z8 C! }5 @# E) Q) L: s, L
, V# X5 `; V7 j' B7 m「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
+ N: i+ R2 J. u K' t「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
1 ~0 r; Z; c& c( I! D) n! s: }7 U1 x9 ]5 E# K
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。 F8 H0 s3 E" ]) s9 g
8 t8 t) f. M% \. ]0 u6 A接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，& q8 r, g! [& G, y Z! l
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
5 k/ Q& Y9 x+ |! Q( Q长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 * Q; `$ Z) H1 Y) I$ j$ A- D. j; X
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。, P) C$ ~( o" @1 b( P/ @
心想赢定了。' z3 l/ O3 T* o! f
0 q) U& q( y3 X! J2 I/ E; u3 q没想到开始不到半刻钟，! L4 o6 s. U `" L
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
* {6 Q& \- ~ q
9 e" d; S& W$ a' ?; F( p赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
3 `1 _! \& i6 }; [3 m但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。0 p& [! K p8 t6 l& v6 c" s
2 ?$ s) v" h4 p2 _赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?, E% `8 v& F, ]# F) R( ~- R
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 / Y+ N+ u" i. f* t# z3 D
上帝回答道：( m6 \) ]% F/ Z
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
( M9 x* F$ n. T+ n「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
7 n; h( H& z# `, |" s1 _; j6 e「而不是先发生在我身上。」/ X3 g! g a5 V9 k, d7 ]
9 d1 {# y# r# n- L2 b! N 赌徒恍然大悟，
6 G: w7 r/ L0 |. O: [' a原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，4 z2 W% U+ L$ B2 @: }& h9 n( u
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
( p, I2 R6 V7 ?* M+ C3 j- r/ w. k「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」) ?# ~( w( J- K, e. _; G- [
上帝说完便不见踪影。
/ w3 u- h. Y! ~
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，$ N6 b/ @3 P3 x* {0 x7 k9 o
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，; K2 D& \# K1 d% \2 N4 |
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，% i! a# U4 B W, t7 u: y
对赌徒十分有利。. I: ^6 R' E% z# C7 k) f/ W
( q1 W, `7 W6 ]& ]# ^) }但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，' @7 W1 X; r1 g( j0 H
在还没掷到1000次之前，
9 A& z5 w% G" u9 p" A8 [仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。; k! |2 w* v& o" G
; S' p) |# U$ }; V U
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
+ G5 c1 Q2 C$ b/ V. m+ B5 \* Y. G( C7 m
事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
& R. P; V2 [ ~; ?0 y1 X8 D6 q- J, Y- z6 r) T# F. x1 {* H
市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
: W5 ]9 x) d, X' N
5 j5 Z1 p5 q" M2 W 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ / y8 P' q; q2 z$ r
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