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[lastpost] => 2766439 【星宝】9月17日投注流水49433元 1758109026 22301
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小分3种情况:; U& `! F' B( n N9 u
4 [9 i5 \7 U! _% F T: M& d! ]* W1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。! [+ V$ J$ H; L: \0 g4 ]
' R5 b: G; a6 R, x2 U( j
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
( g! z" h8 @+ f1 \$ l6 B, f3 i4 Q6 C q0 O$ {( Y3 H# T5 V
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。
5 h" g9 @8 w" O1 M& z. ?# N9 ?: ^/ M2 f+ { b. J; s
2张牌8或9点的情况有:
5 p; X1 x/ q- g3 l! K) Y0 b. c5 \/ |
7 D7 y1 w/ _1 G# S) i: D& E1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10# D( @4 |. ~! g" U+ d
: g8 o+ t. C/ r4 y' z+ \
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
; `9 y8 }: v& q9 N) w1 ~
! v1 e) _/ M6 l& P H4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
8 p5 M' Y# K* Z, ] }+ Y" ~+ y% Q) ]* m ?
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/4151 k8 Y7 w) w( L: N K: h
( d" [" c; E% @- b3 `: D H: K由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。4 J0 p* u5 h2 o- c" F9 i9 q( K
: M" p, Y+ ]6 N, P! d
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。0 A- o0 g% w. Y6 f7 k
7 ?2 ^. V! E% w) v6 d! K1 b那么我们可以得出
! R, F, d; z0 V( _
# r' q: J; {' Y+ G1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662- P& Y$ O- K5 a# N( C+ u
9 Z. ]. Q4 l' z' L" ^" ]/ Y( B8 @
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 7 c) @. m) Y: N! K0 b
* m- u/ y0 F% R- S5 {
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
4 n, @; y* y. @% a8 v8 ~1 o
+ K6 n1 s7 p/ }7 u所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
" M# J$ y7 z/ Y5 C% l1 O8 O: i$ n. q+ C* B; \" U
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677% Y' [& W$ @! B2 {( s
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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