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[lastpost] => 2782192 以太坊巨鲸“逢低卖出”，Hayes 及其 10 年前的 ICO 钱包转移数百万美元（转） 1763387457 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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" W I* h8 p. l) g/ A( q7 \4 r5 X 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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" \7 d) m# @. w; B- a 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。$ B0 _0 N) A4 p* B1 ]* C1 r
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# _( g2 a- L9 B$ l* l2 E ?9 n 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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% s( L, p0 G' j Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。2 P& M. B4 O9 R
. z) V* x' `9 B/ J 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。- k, W: ~6 v8 }
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" D$ B8 h* w4 H& A U2 n 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，; Z% K8 T, C7 ^4 A; t
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间" X3 a: m& L {" C2 i( T" Y
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”
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0 v, W- @1 L( p1 z 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”1 K) w; m7 x# V D
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$ ^' I0 A( D3 `/ X6 ?/ O0 B 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。3 X1 a4 J8 w: a: |7 w/ F8 p0 t0 p N
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。3 a4 w1 h/ x/ h) `
( S8 S3 _, d# k2 }2 P/ H; e 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势% `4 @5 ?( n, `6 w/ L7 _
& }9 [0 F" u q6 F. r- Y 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。. B0 [& _! k( k* F& U
D8 H* R( u8 H* \0 g 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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3 V7 p; d9 j* b+ H! F市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”2 n8 n( u$ e# M9 a. @
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