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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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$ n) H, f7 g0 o" D报告中特别强调了这一论断。4 f- W6 ]5 i" T, n! X+ O! e
美元抛售推高比特币9 e4 }+ z$ g* I# J4 D
, D# k5 D" @8 Z2 u# Y% xGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以" L) s( u6 x) J- }
8 e6 M4 e( P$ Z7 R" Y( \9 ]# P来的最低水平。% a9 ^- e1 t* j' s
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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+ q2 ^3 D: C/ ZAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推( c; G. {3 {4 \8 ?5 ?( u# i
9 ~/ _8 l J' E+ E3 y" [4 R+ Y6 A高黄金和比特币的价格。
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) \# H$ q- Z$ ` D7 }' s$ z下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化& ~) n5 V0 `2 j: ?& ?' Q6 Q
. R+ P, x! H) J7 k1 u+ H剂。" L$ z* k8 n1 P x* D; Y
: }/ `2 p+ ?+ [$ m7 ~' ^这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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0 m8 o. A* R; R' R3 a7 q这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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7 p( v) K2 y$ S% o4 C了8.7万美元。
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2 J$ G R4 N f7 f: C, J$ U然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，# @% _; }7 u9 q0 x& j
/ F& _3 |$ z! ~: @) V0 j“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。7 ^4 I, L5 x% J" f3 r" Q- a
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”+ k; G1 B S m8 T4 o
/ a/ a, i6 b+ f3 z4 } ECryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。$ T$ j0 G7 k) v3 v( v' w# ?
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