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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 " \- }2 O7 C& |7 y# @8 p6 n
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其实原文标题不是这样的* h. k' J) y/ E* N9 m8 q/ i
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...) L1 D2 v2 g: S8 c: j/ M
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
1 [( S' C! q" m9 _( H! z) \% H) \3 A+ K8 I+ r2 Y" M0 ~
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。' n2 F0 d5 y" M1 a# F9 a
( S. ]+ [; X- J0 [3 J* D 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」( Y1 X( R% C! N- T& V- |4 o
8 y8 o7 O E) a$ m; a3 c「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 0 z7 K+ b2 k- ~9 j; b
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」9 K4 t8 J% \5 k
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上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。- v! J! W) M6 v
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，5 y) ]) q( F/ N Y
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
: r0 p' U) @" Z6 S长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 {1 c% A3 s' I0 d
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。+ T7 u L9 n, d, C7 B: `
心想赢定了。 {; ~* M, g+ K/ ^% `1 @5 O
7 F+ s! P- }- F3 b7 n8 Z1 t没想到开始不到半刻钟，( J- W9 {* y; Y& g, B: ~2 { v
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」( F$ U; _( F: H0 p& W. U( b2 w
O2 c( x! @: D赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
C6 H2 ]/ i' E但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。 B/ F5 ^9 R, B: q: R+ n. |: V4 \2 {
C- c3 \& N& k赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
2 @, Z. y. H: ^+ L# _- t他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 ; Z* }/ T6 W) R! s
上帝回答道：- J- y4 W9 w! e' F+ j# x6 i* B
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」7 p0 k: m: v/ y7 r6 f
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
: Z$ f2 ]9 R2 B. i5 m「而不是先发生在我身上。」
: a9 c/ O0 c7 E( E! a$ K/ `* Y* C( K- n1 O3 I
赌徒恍然大悟，
: ^4 t9 |" [! `原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势， U) A2 S8 \% e( |. v9 y I( s
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
' U7 `5 n7 [: Z) V0 d% Y「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」$ U- s" b+ h/ U9 w+ ^: C
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
4 r4 t; l* f+ w6 v% `3 h6 B1 V- F1 T若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
; w0 k9 \" |' I( i. L3 S8 k1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，& H; D; {0 i' o1 y$ Q% J& R
对赌徒十分有利。
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" K5 d- h4 \( u c, ~但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
5 X( N I$ d; G% Q& ?1 e8 N7 P/ h在还没掷到1000次之前，8 E* r. V1 y! P6 f& L+ V
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。6 t9 {; T$ s: L# g9 U4 W
( ? r! k V( ]$ f 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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$ N( \' p# {. t+ |7 r6 j 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。 h. q: U9 E8 P4 Q J
! F& D' I1 R5 x& [- k 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，( l8 D" J f. L; w+ X: C$ q
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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