Array
(
[fid] => 6934
[description] => 新人学习的板块，以便快速熟悉论坛
[password] =>
[icon] => 10/common_6934_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 4
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[981] => 板块公告
[982] => 新手课堂
[983] => 新手提问
[984] => 新手任务
[987] => 活动推介
[986] => 综合讨论
[1103] => 实战交流
[1526] => 自我介绍
[1527] => 首次擂台投注
[1528] => 存款直升
[1529] => 提款直升
)
[icons] => Array
(
[981] =>
[982] =>
[983] =>
[984] =>
[987] =>
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[981] => 1
[982] => 1
[983] =>
[984] => 1
[987] => 1
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:7:"#FF00CC";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"48";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 新手大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 7
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 7810
[posts] => 55459
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 1
[rank] => 8
[oldrank] => 26
[lastpost] => 2795945 如何才能走出新手村啊 1768045254 天策-瑶娥
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 1
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 1
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 18 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
& \- ^" _: j1 `/ m
; P( o) W2 z0 R o$ L+ ~+ G* z其实原文标题不是这样的* t1 \$ o9 c$ ]
! s. `$ D" z2 M6 l' k
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!) c$ Z/ d: I; B( X' b
& J2 B, ~) p. K# P' s
" L" w, }' W4 J
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...7 O/ j; T$ b: z
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
+ ]; @; P$ r& @5 N- b3 w8 U9 N$ ? G
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。0 @4 x, }: j2 u$ A$ U; z% G# i ?
& b3 @( b& H% K W2 y2 w, U/ g0 o
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
9 t* [- N3 g* x8 K
$ x! L r2 v0 E/ m; @「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 0 ~$ r) K. U" K! t
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」4 h' q4 z6 w3 D" Q* ^0 C0 R
2 `( G+ J7 m" W; Y
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
2 F1 d7 R0 l& `4 J
( y `1 l1 t6 j1 w; v接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
+ K; r0 N$ e" e$ @/ x1 W+ T因此铜板较容易出现正面。" S2 a8 f$ H+ I" q: e6 q9 C+ Q$ U% P8 g
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 * j2 I9 H4 y7 q
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。9 J! b8 u ?/ {
心想赢定了。# U6 i7 l" q2 Y2 _7 n& t7 G5 H' _
6 i% w; D) t1 V; X% w/ K- t1 K
没想到开始不到半刻钟，4 d7 N3 @: x# F: E) ^# p4 ?4 E5 V7 e
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」5 c L% m6 r; ]& R/ `8 }, O
' m& h: ]9 t1 c+ w2 k6 o6 I) F赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，! } F$ S0 F7 `
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
9 y5 j; a3 P' J% ?
; L& n) U) K: Y8 K* Q: T赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
3 o2 E) }- c! Y7 E+ B7 [他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 7 S! h( f, f# n; `. i
上帝回答道：, f8 z8 c+ r& N2 j7 h9 \3 ]
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
$ c5 f) I/ r. ]3 R/ n. \. ]' W「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」0 e' c. Z7 Z3 a
「而不是先发生在我身上。」+ p1 M+ f1 G$ m) B) J$ u
1 U O1 J: E; W; X- L& p c
赌徒恍然大悟，: S' F/ \+ l. d$ d% o& _
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，2 P! B( B7 B9 j8 ^6 M( G* k
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！+ N8 A0 m4 ^' w9 `0 Q& Z% P) Z' ^
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
) A9 E# m8 |' e5 v上帝说完便不见踪影。 $ _ x6 S" H y7 z* d' J
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
; [# b M- D5 \若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
; V4 N4 k' _4 B$ M' X( N; \1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
6 \* S) v9 {7 c9 q: Y对赌徒十分有利。
$ o5 f4 a5 }3 f! r5 x2 a
5 D3 W7 q+ V8 p! X: B但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，% `. T) x d3 k
在还没掷到1000次之前，% h8 ]+ Z1 f9 q; q' m
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。' h$ M$ T0 L& v6 T7 ^) U
6 G7 S: J% r L 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。8 U4 B; [7 B* O, G
+ c R, m9 F$ c
事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
9 p/ Q. u3 {4 v! V" h o a& T% P1 M# a4 ^' O; B
市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，, A* R4 i3 C2 I1 d( L: B: t
: i7 e. ^( R O- Z/ |4 S
永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
2 Y% W- j. A! S2 W! w
6 e8 H7 U# W: |; M8 g. ^+ g |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
