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小分3种情况:
9 B" Y8 t2 b$ I- F2 U! n9 c) {9 |9 d; e3 Y7 \/ k
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。$ f0 b* |, R( F" H$ s( {
5 D# t9 r" G* \+ x& D
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。9 W- a* J8 D! J$ a4 J+ p4 J1 t$ ]4 O5 ~
. t: e, [ Z* S; T2 v( \
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。8 e: s8 r7 j8 }3 g& c& v# r5 f
/ I r B8 W; R- G2张牌8或9点的情况有:5 o$ _1 ^3 m6 `$ B& [* a; }' D' r
2 K6 L5 U! f2 X( N; W
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
6 U4 K5 ~' G& ?$ l% i8 I! C& R$ M' g, I& b& g: {2 T
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415: n9 d6 a7 j$ x' f) @
5 ^8 P% J! N" M- e6 c8 m4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
# M" k' m$ b/ w* H# L) S
1 X( v, l/ X4 X: S, ^) z/ P8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/4159 q4 U2 n! A& P4 R5 [
p9 I& _5 n& c$ b( i9 |0 ]# c; c由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
7 n$ t/ y3 R4 [" {; j, j8 T/ Z" R. [' h+ q9 h* {
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
0 E e6 Z8 e: A1 V
) L1 I# P) z& z那么我们可以得出" U3 \7 b' D4 |! U; M/ L* V& w I9 U' ^
# P8 J( y; ]# g4 W' o! L* ` B8 g( a F8 I1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662# P* F1 J+ Z# ^% M
: z/ G9 s0 a4 F9 o: x
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171
0 q: s1 t+ @$ H$ i; q* @6 k+ H& V/ n0 L: _
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491# w: V$ A/ ?+ Z) ?2 v
! z% R' [7 x6 A+ t6 s% R% _2 ^0 G8 S
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323( u9 n5 S& j1 a7 q8 `/ V$ _
2 I* ?7 j' ]3 X1 g# \- ^5 h! C8 p, X
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677/ m6 ?6 P6 b5 ~: s1 K7 i
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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