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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。
8 | {: f* O1 z wISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？
}6 V9 Q$ B, q2 m3 P3 F什么是ISDA？ s9 ~1 H: B8 T' ^8 }! n; T& b
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
7 a- S9 ]7 E, | Q# i, X营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约3 F% C3 R Q' X g4 x6 ]
(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易6 f# X7 G1 V E6 d4 E
双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市
5 D. O& |# F& C! s# I9 x场的正常发展。% g( w( w* r, Y7 y1 ?% R4 J" K z
换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。/ s2 C0 R2 H" G G' r' [ x
进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
7 F6 @" [2 N% A2 K- U! D( S. F7 tDigital Asset。4 P A8 r5 B) n5 a
加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？
+ |. u! `; O) n, G7 W# j: m5 gDigital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影
& B g. H* k$ Z$ e6 A响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。
6 m- h+ B" s% N1 w0 M+ q: d根据其推论：
, D2 o6 f6 I4 d现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元: s: C$ y1 G% |* k6 L; Y* w% V
若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元
+ s. p$ ^& _/ c; r) _3 B bXRP目前总市值为349亿美元
8 f4 Y: ^0 g# m; B( M8 I9 K: \% Q需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元
8 M4 p' A, X) X5 }4 V% X+ @4 F而XRP目前币价为0.6617425 B( k( y: u/ x2 `
0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元6 Q6 d \, e8 @$ L
挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？' C1 o+ ]2 ^9 [# V6 g* j
不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎9 C# Q) Z- w4 U! A& b1 N
也未有极大的波动。3 b4 I* C4 y: M3 Q2 [
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生
. I1 Y! O- M7 M4 n: |性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这
* p; y4 q9 n: m$ U. f个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢
* x5 }$ C- ^8 o, O1 X引导传统金融的采用呢？
# p( H8 g8 s! n- N" R6 ~
, T. R: ?5 X' \- B0 E( |5 H |
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