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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
0 _; e9 {8 g. _1 L" Q0 T: b至少有以下几个原因：6 C- m& ]. H) v
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。: X. g0 a7 w8 V% i. L5 j* a
: A" O5 O4 J! M m1 b
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化& S3 @3 M: Q# ]: Z5 v ]+ ^: V( X
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机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案, y7 r1 I/ k3 ^9 k
. s6 l/ R6 N& ]* X/ t出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
3 k' j `3 ~/ M: B+ u# {
( k( h& I6 Z% i1 w0 X. j325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
( h& \ e d8 e% O* q& T( d4 b+ w8 ~/ x7 O; B- V0 Y
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
) Z2 k7 Y0 H) b5 d9 q2 I
8 P1 l: j% Z" J9 i0 q( i' |达到200亿美金）
5 v5 P( w) V0 n, B" w2 C' ?% X3 p0 l9 D3 p h- G+ [
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊3 R; h( ^4 v. \ L
5 d( t- \3 v( }5 s5 l
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
7 y) ]# Q }- Z6 i+ y6 H4 n1 e7 V) L* Z# h
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
# E5 `" |, `5 k; C; @0 l" g0 W4 b3 x8 a; v+ P$ E; B
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大5 H2 m& T+ c$ ^- _2 Q% h" s
/ r8 Q; L% D& o+ A
资金的信任和青睐。
: [1 L, y# J3 e# O" ^( o# o( `5 i8 ^7 T! d
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美% ^. m# `) d0 N4 y- M$ P: V
7 s1 n8 H% Y) |& p' L6 T
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
+ |# d" ]8 P; c7 X) T) {- X3 m, p7 U g N4 C) L% j8 D& Z: I, t2 t) y6 B
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。, A! K/ F+ x# t2 _* p- p$ }
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