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[lastpost] => 2771288 苹果CEO库克称自己是加密数字货币投资者 持有比特币（转） 1759644712 rainwang
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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人4 j3 Z- a' U. c- p# \6 Q9 ?
5 i0 d. A- Z& Z, l8 ^: X4 N认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，: l: W8 M& e2 C7 D0 s) ?
& z. d* z7 |; S# \" W: L
而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富
3 Q0 ~/ ^4 U' ]8 P6 k5 f
' x7 K1 \' Q' B3 }7 {/ p! T1 a的千禧一代。
1 D: p6 ]; h7 J* I( r4 b$ n从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB5 U- ~; o' j3 Z6 v3 d
: E) Y7 M& c7 m7 I7 y的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“ B: e3 _0 i' E( p! |$ A; F
8 m: R* w* p3 ^6 J( e
时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加$ X' A- B# m8 Q8 d
- ^: ]5 P3 Y3 c5 i5 \# K' d6 @3 ]+ M! O密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据2 p5 E5 `, l9 F& ^: b* F) x1 ?, g: m) [! h+ m
* N/ f& n* b( W- N
《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成
' Y4 ~+ i. T1 e6 m( |' M" X) A
0 K* d. c9 V& I" V5 U的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》
$ Y' M" h5 R( ?* y; |2 s2 L
. J. j4 j4 ?8 f( ~2 h/ u- B报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；/ A% H3 K$ W* v5 S6 f: g+ Q7 `
/ ~1 S4 @" L$ p10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为 m3 o: T8 `; Q/ k
+ A( r1 k9 q7 Z: ]
ETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。
* n/ z% e. r, P- p& V- g/ F. Q( B: J2 M+ t! [
据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降- n6 s# n" y9 s+ H& {8 R. n4 k! f. c' B
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息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。 k/ Q! u" i, r- K
8 b1 {) @0 j* X6 Q; m
与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密
$ Z/ K' ]$ G8 ]! e9 L5 r
* i6 x' k& { p0 w, h4 O9 c% f1 B世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富
8 B R# ^9 V2 S1 S' M" U0 l" F3 |0 n! _* V; A. z" @
传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不% z6 m. q2 {9 J. {
& y7 R, Q' k9 N e
到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一9 E: l7 X0 L" i$ o/ X
: B3 [ k8 e1 @* C; }" S% w代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成! I) g5 K- h1 s0 h; }
) w6 r( T U: N# Z本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体) ], U# B4 q' \1 b y2 H- [
, Z3 d: h. s8 x* z) |. ]6 x
系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货
. y s" q' @2 |7 {2 K" W8 W' w5 U3 f
4 l1 g e! ?4 i+ a- Z' ^币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致
" p" _! Z0 ~7 Z* Y: ~% |5 h2 E
/ i- _/ e+ A, z, i# V未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富0 i1 o# \: ~; `! U; C, m
, o6 b3 Q; u3 R3 D/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。' r7 S" J/ ]7 Y* U7 Z8 o$ P% J
; y4 L* {2 I" w% I" D/ A8 Z6 B% ] E. }; Y. y4 `
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