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[lastpost] => 2799817 今日虚拟币市场还是跌多涨少啊 1769145975 22301
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势7 e2 C ~6 z/ K' N7 ] x
2 {; h, {- A3 x$ ^ S d过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。/ {1 f# Z2 t5 t4 p, x
7 C& x. ^ W+ m# LPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
# w1 g2 Z, {& G
9 V- Q& T( ~/ A0 zCPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
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2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期# n& N8 V: @0 z: u3 y0 |
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当前持仓成本:
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. Q7 k$ R7 T7 z# V机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;6 j( { Y* i3 H8 n0 i' l
a+ f$ r* @8 w, y' n
微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;2 |& A; }9 n4 ~) z1 x. u
M" t! C+ E5 x6 b( VETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
7 H. k$ B6 _* c
+ G' ?" G8 h3 M: A/ b- B) @比特币价值回归:
. T* ~5 N/ b, F
4 \: z" w& R9 `9 E" b市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。. R- F: a. s! F( i3 @
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随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。3 W, r8 S" L$ J6 r% T
/ P; Q# q6 c$ F) Q
加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。3 ~+ v2 U2 {, l4 V" x4 @
! l" g- T, o: g8 h/ z3. 市场热点与反弹情况+ t" d n8 ^$ T& L) a( w0 Z9 u- F
9 C) A, V" l! w1 a, TETH:
1 T8 c4 J" _; b z0 D E4 x6 {+ r5 ]3 |& I5 n- g7 p# a* ^
虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。
; [0 G# f3 F' X5 J, b
! z. a3 x; {+ w8 P0 F, B0 \4 W机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。8 M" f v( E' {
( j/ l( y- R( c- t' CBTC:: v5 C! Q/ c* D) h& _: R* s
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尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。
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+ b1 }% j+ r+ R# _. z" M& n- b! k如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。
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SOL与XRP:% `6 m* h; M* d
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SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
3 j% P i+ @; c( s. Y
, w$ ~6 Z* {# _9 Q6 G" u$ r5 [2 GXRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。# b) L1 v2 E& A
9 c& h* I3 O7 `' E; v其他热点项目:1 A6 N" x+ Y7 |( P
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涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
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[: y% M4 k: A& i3 F7 S7 ^9 U3 j7 F山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。
3 F7 f& ^! }+ W: ?" `- t
3 n: f4 V& E' ~* D/ m4. AI赛道与新兴项目+ P1 ^7 }4 n$ h% B5 |5 B( `9 {
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AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。# u9 E2 r9 `+ B7 `- o
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蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
; @; K0 G( x9 ?
& ], m; z6 O2 I: c- E新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
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y3 B% Q; C; f3 V2 ]市场展望8 Q B* w6 R) ` s# P
' f2 J- M, w1 b" ?
随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。
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