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[lastpost] => 2783491 比特币暴跌导致杠杆多头头寸在短短一小时内蒸发近10亿美元。（转） 1763802875 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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+ w( ~; ]# z% n: Y 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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$ N2 l4 @* Z8 L* d& p 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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% M* D+ x |" _ 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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7 H$ x! j- ^- f" ? Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。, N; ?# ?- T6 A9 q
% D; b. P" k* f9 `) A( U, [/ S! l 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。8 U# O: y; m' d. ~
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。. _# G( Q& k# B: j
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$ V+ y" w& S& ~# Q4 {4 ?0 p0 w2 p 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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; `9 B4 c* J$ p( M6 {价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。% s* J3 |; f. Y; F* g% b
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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4 a( R' O/ g( y' g( H框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”- E- E3 b8 a5 i/ c
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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& T2 @7 `6 A1 A" Y6 D$ w “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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) D7 X3 [" s# ?# E) z; t积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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, S( h( G; W; w6 u- Z 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。. A* {7 V" v+ t4 V3 i' T
! k ~% F" R2 J/ i% i 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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2 j; p3 ^& V# }9 A& x! z 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。 O- x' G9 D4 p1 T8 N$ u, t
8 J. z& J/ G7 Z- c7 z: z0 M 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。4 Z2 w1 t( ?2 u* a7 D, |+ e
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; {; \) J1 m) m; ^; _) g9 s6 _6 I 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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