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昨晚20：30分，美国五月份CPI通胀数据发布：CPI公布数值 8.6%，高于预期数值 8.3%和四月的CPI数值 8.3%，创下1981年以来的最高水平。在高通胀数据的压力之下，金融市场随之急剧下跌，截至凌晨收盘：纳斯达克指数下跌3.54%、标普500指数下跌2.91%、道琼斯工业指数下跌2.73%、比特币跌破30000美元支撑线，下跌至28852美元的低位，随后在买盘拉动下回升至29200美元的上方。 & q; }7 F- A1 a& b/ C" j h7 i
9 r4 m# w; ^- d# RBTC/USDT 日线图。资料来源：TradingView
/ w9 r! ^" L1 H- k+ N9 l; f9 |3 b美东时间下周一，美联储将召开今年第四次议息会议，在为期两天的FOMC会议结束后，将于北京时间6月16日凌晨2:00公布联邦基准利率，市场认为，美联储加息75个基点的可能性正在上升。
; Y/ [. a6 p) R4 [3 B3 l: q* R以下是几位市场分析师对比特币未来前景的看法： * A4 K0 }. P& f& ^' J1 s
美元强势将重压风险资产 t' D. Y; @; K) p
加密市场分析师 艾卡波 谈到了高通胀数据对金融市场两个主要指标：美元指数 (DXY) 和标准普尔 500 (SPX) 的影响，他发布了以下图表，指出“在 CPI 数据公布后，# DXY 继续上涨，#SPX 继续自由落体。”
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; l0 x5 _2 F# d' U5 S) EDXY 4 小时图与 SPX 2 小时图。资料来源：推特
! _" w: W8 s' n# e- }图表显示：美元上涨就等于其他金融衍生品下跌。这就像，海平面上涨淹没沿岸的沙滩。
! q7 E: i- W( [/ |市场分析师凯文斯文森还表示，美联储如无法抑制通胀，可能会转化为经济周期在2023年正式进入衰退期。 , y& p8 \- q) _0 W
有可能回调至 28,000 美元以下 2 n5 f" r* S v8 w' g8 V ^
加密交易员 夏尔巴在推特上发布了比特币价格预测图认为，比特币的交易价格可能跌破28000 美元。 1 Q5 {% _' {" m; f+ W6 j$ l
' `; f' J/ |; ?3 V+ L P; |BTC/USD 4 小时图。资料来源：推特
2 U' ~5 u; _, J% R. g0 M夏尔巴认为：“从四小时线图来看价格似乎止跌了，但整体市场结构仍然看跌。没有真正积极的因素推动上涨。很清楚，如果跌破当前区域，下一个将考验28K美元支撑位。
9 B; K9 J8 b( d) oBTC 需要收回 3 万美元以防止进一步下跌 ; j( T0 ?. K7 ?
Twitter名为克里布的市场分析师 发布了以下图表，显示比特币价格必须回到30000 美元才能防止进一步下跌。这位分析师表示，这是“我们需要坚持到底的时刻”。
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BTC/USD 2 小时图。资料来源：推特
5 h5 ]) S3 n n3 S/ f( d% C克里布说：“支持，这是比特币第四次触碰28000 美元区域，再次反弹说明这个位置有强大的支撑。如果我们能回到 30K 美元以上，那么跌破 28K 美元就可以避免。”
5 G: ]2 L( G( V$ o# D' S来源：金色财经 |
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