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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
" _8 A1 U% y* X4 u& x行情补充、 / `5 u2 D$ ~6 O; |1 D1 Y
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 }+ t% I7 u; S0 q3 ?+ ^& l
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 ^4 _( U r( x; S( F T0 }
关于疑问、一一回复。 , z9 l: m) \/ {+ u
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
! d5 U( R. l) z8 C7 G
5 \. [- I; o% x首先就个人的主观来说、 - w( n. S- t, ~2 ~) r
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 ; n/ [; i7 T$ e, Y( q2 B, P! q
极度憧憬市场的未来！
. s% z0 M/ B8 N但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
1 L3 }$ E3 S* T最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 8 e3 `4 ^4 S3 D7 s/ N1 v2 }
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
+ v7 E% O9 z7 G/ |! t+ `会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 ! V/ g; D% j1 ^# z5 O
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
4 R7 W& a3 B+ C* d7 A其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 3 }' T9 y0 f" R5 k$ M% k/ p
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 8 d8 m8 o; }% ?3 ?5 d) m {
为什么会跌、 & v4 Z ~. z" ?* y& n
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 * A/ Y7 s) P# v) p# r
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
5 _" Z" _/ W4 U6 X3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
/ e/ h0 W7 u3 n5 G6 r综上造成的下跌、
( t; z" W) V6 |- m% ?这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 & C4 @5 [) n2 y; s- s1 N( S8 F! M
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 ; [$ e, q! z0 \4 [( X/ {0 ]. @
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
5 p% g, [' B" x! q+ v来决定行情是否好转。
! w& v. x) b" t3 R; `至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 ! @0 y5 Q, |6 T3 ~" N
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. 4 E Y2 R0 J/ o8 B' y% [
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 . E, w( F; k, ]' u4 [" U
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
8 y% G' _+ m9 c' r1 L7 F那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
* Q# F) f7 u- N' c g( Q看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
) b' B! z* L6 q4 K8 y日内大饼反弹、 ' I1 X! L1 S( H* S, |
26150高空
$ f* q$ o8 O5 R0 A% X26350补仓 ' L4 _; T4 j2 B" z; [) k2 N- C) p2 h
26550防守 7 O8 w7 q1 q, [/ _$ _& _( H* m
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 # X2 O* W) y" u1 D5 w' ^7 w
以太反弹
" k# ?2 q# F; Z; W$ Z1380高空
. a5 c$ S1 a( M1400补仓
# J; [+ @1 b. A/ u: N1420防守 & c& ^. C, L) U+ A! p7 b+ Y
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
$ S! e% I" ~. D% m; a附言、 , i0 N. Q/ L/ S6 k4 q3 F
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
( Y* _' \/ g% D( T: P3 q N- B1 }: g是正常现象， , c" U% W# p5 d$ q3 X
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
, N. {, v. `: E8 M+ T. K: I# T对于市场、依旧未来可期。
$ U$ A X% _# e% `& U大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 & W2 a, P, Z/ C9 u
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 - t9 C3 ?. E4 T
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 . e) R* S' T: C( q
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
$ H7 n# [4 M/ R9 z) }相信七月公布时，会较理想。
- \* z0 D. _2 ]% e1 p7 U7 y; H但现阶段，要承受的住。 - V0 { e1 \- L8 [0 \
最后再强调、现货勿割。 - \: z! V' K# S# N
25000的大饼 1300的以太、 5 Q4 s) t- s: s
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
4 n1 M9 q1 j& i! ~* p稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 8 g2 s% z9 ~5 R8 I+ N& B
这个市场，
0 h( L5 s6 |/ N4 h/ Q/ K3 F% d消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 - ]1 O: K T9 d: _! \ S5 x% b
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
) R5 U- G7 |3 _+ K& f* Z切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 1 d5 h* F: c: P$ f! [' |9 l
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 3 f: a+ m( Q9 T1 x
来源：金色财经 |
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