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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
! V! Z6 A, z% {行情补充、
$ K. f" ~* F' x4 p" ~. _/ F# h6 C; E在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
# `/ U+ h1 J! W: p; M市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 8 M( R0 r) |/ a E2 O# Y
关于疑问、一一回复。 6 Z5 I- E4 [4 V3 ^6 `5 F2 a+ n2 ?
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ 7 v9 |$ X6 f4 c6 W6 V+ r( s" ^
( q% H: V. A! y8 W
首先就个人的主观来说、 8 }0 j0 a( ^4 E0 ?
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 4 ~ o) D3 T. O. Z3 g$ w- k
极度憧憬市场的未来！ ! E: [* `: e" _& E
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
9 k; G+ s; W7 Q' ^最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 4 P! b! S# c+ j7 Z) Z
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
6 {7 z x; L' N, C% c8 {+ L会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
8 r: h' ^+ l/ ]4 E: {转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 ' f& l$ C& R6 {& o1 ?7 J- b
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 & }' e5 W1 z- G; p$ d: B, z
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 2 C- J& I. X( G, e6 X3 I
为什么会跌、
Z2 n8 A0 ~$ W1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 2 B F' i1 i7 c8 P" U7 x* Y
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 $ c( g3 D& ^/ _- G" _
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
/ H a; R# H& g# X4 u* O综上造成的下跌、
% m9 Q4 B. R% J. ~' M z这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
\/ m6 @$ @8 _- H9 Z也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 9 i5 \; c6 s: J$ `' u% p
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
$ U" L" ^- b4 _来决定行情是否好转。
, c# q: C" }1 C至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
' K# ~5 S4 c8 C' y在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
2 f6 o* b4 u/ z6 N) o& o短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
) p# t, Z8 l% b. j% N% ?' z周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 # g' S; ]: X# [
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 2 z0 R9 I/ A6 c* ]: J) Z) I
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 ; Q+ Z1 L7 ~- M0 D) W( X9 Y7 t ?
日内大饼反弹、 5 h1 B4 _6 U6 g0 S
26150高空
6 r2 l) u! n- ]4 ^, I26350补仓
1 j+ m2 G" e; y, i! G3 d4 O26550防守 ! T4 }+ f6 u4 s% r% Y
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 2 Y; \3 {$ q x' ?1 ]
以太反弹 ! v7 n2 \! y( ]" S/ o% b: D' L0 h
1380高空
) [4 w% p I! V2 V1400补仓 2 a0 O+ V7 g- \6 i% F) E5 u8 T
1420防守
# Y2 M8 N+ Q% l' E8 N: }8 l7 y目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 9 U0 S9 T, `' ~" n/ V; K
附言、 ; ]4 H# y( }- f. `2 K
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 1 ]5 d3 e" {4 W. X
是正常现象，
& ~$ Q. ?; Y$ E! f4 M合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 6 q( I6 |" `: T4 Z- O' ]6 c0 }
对于市场、依旧未来可期。 6 ~7 X! a. n) ]& ]2 G
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
( h' l% @1 `# A4 V8 L上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 * V1 z) n* C; h) P* {. t# P2 k/ n
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 - Q- v. T$ C3 a$ a3 |1 ~
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
K1 X- w2 X1 t. B, Z' u$ u相信七月公布时，会较理想。
, q$ ]1 O. k% V5 F& ?- L1 S/ d$ P但现阶段，要承受的住。
( h( m, Y9 Z4 |4 s5 u最后再强调、现货勿割。 6 ~( Z y( c; O' L. _" X
25000的大饼 1300的以太、
- z1 a, k! W- s" o个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 9 s* F- _# j$ u
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 , {$ |1 X: j/ S1 x
这个市场， ! z) n, I- x$ m/ ~0 ^3 X1 \' N
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 / r1 S9 n2 d% j
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 : m2 m4 z( ]8 j/ {
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 / y$ S c- R: ?/ Q( }2 r9 o
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 # y( @# ?( t2 z! ]; R, x3 p
来源：金色财经 |
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