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[lastpost] => 2762871 a16z 给 Web3 创业者的真话：下个十年，Web3 创业要盯住这三件事 1757348985 天策-瑶娥
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加密市场今天大跌，比特币跌破24000美元，出现今年历史新低23500。
$ `) h) q. h0 J7 n. {比特币跌出新低，市场情绪似乎没有太恐慌，已经连续数周下跌给出信号了，下跌共识形成，只是跌到哪个低点，没有人知道。
# E9 m* N) W8 c+ h很多人卸载软件躺平了，敢于开空的人又狠狠赚了一波，市场持续波动，在寻找下一个支撑点，大部分现货钱包已经腰斩再腰斩了。 8 T- o" z0 ^ B' {$ e# q3 M
比特币日线走势跌至23500美元 ' d: b, z# |( Z, y3 k6 l( w
上个月写过一个文章“看到群友的数字钱包 我惊呆了！”这个群友的钱包有14000多个ETH，价值4k多万美元，今天再看他的钱包，价值是1680多万美元，缩水超过60%。ETH价格跌至低点1180，这个群友还没有割肉以太坊。 $ ]" s# ^5 F5 H# f' d* `
在加密市场一片高涨，比特币6w美元时，很多人羡慕他的钱包余额；在市场一片哀嚎时，比特币跌破2.5w，很多人对市场失去信心，割肉离场。
7 f. P; r- ~* q( H" [' L谁也不知道市场最终的走势，对加密世界没有信仰的人，抓不住机会，也没办法在下一轮自由，在暴跌时失去信心，在暴涨羡慕嫉妒恨。 $ W R" R. ^, f5 {( R/ ]: z
一个人的钱包有多鼓囊，全在于其认知有多大，每个人只能赚到认知以内的钱。
: x; A9 w0 T& A- H4 W7 D( a! x以太坊日线走势跌至1180美元 , H3 Z- [' U0 ^! W5 B
现货的人躺平不看了，打金的人继续打金，合约的人继续合约，还有人亏完了默默退场了。
9 a* } A! v8 }) v8 [+ D有人整理了2018年以太坊价格波动，如果2022年历史重演，以太坊可能要奔着300美元去，现在是1180，那还有74%的跌幅？ ! `+ J. z' K+ R. ^4 { o/ S
在加密市场涨跌都是指数倍，想要拿住多大收益，就要承担多大风险。如果说加密市场是区块链变革，这个变革真是惊涛骇浪，随时可能淹没在飓风中。
+ p; A* |7 F6 |5 Y- L以太坊今年会跌到300么？ 8 K' U6 o" q3 V9 `% M
有人说现在是初熊，没有最低只有更低，不知道深熊会多深。我还没经历过一个完整的牛熊周期，对未来市场充满好奇。从有限的经验看，赚得多high就会亏得多惨，暴涨多么疯狂暴跌就多么惨烈。市场就是如此反复。
! T% y0 D* j$ e9 X2 R/ o" y# o& _9 E- R有人翻出熊市修炼手册，熊市是学习和积累的时间，也是新的机会。
: e. W" y' T1 {# t G0 I7 u- g6 j( Q比特币从去年底的高点69000，到今天的23500，已经跌掉65%，也是一个相对低点，或许也是加仓的时机。 4 W) u" L1 B, Q
也有人看跌btc到2w以下，市场情绪低迷，但下一个周期的百倍机会，也会在这个熊市里酝酿。 * E+ _" s6 T, c y1 P) U8 W
加密市场今日跌幅
% t2 M6 c8 x4 t9 D: _还有最近上线的各种web3项目，跟随整个加密市场波动，也是举步维艰。 - O( D+ v% O1 R' G) U( }
比如骑行bikerush，入场就跌掉一半，自行车地板价一度跌至发行价0.8BNB附近，不少玩家亏本离场。 & R9 T5 |( B1 s2 r( B( T) k1 e
还有之前出圈的STEPN项目说，跑鞋会陪大家度过熊市，但现实是收益从几十美元，跌到一杯咖啡，还将在7月15日关闭对中国用户的服务，市场风向说变就变。
% M+ }' c+ \ A; {8 w8 t. |5 O找个稳点的web3项目，打金度过熊市，但哪个才能稳住，度过熊市，真不好说。
* X, a3 `0 k8 ^0 O& l* X0 A跑鞋stepn和骑行bikerush $ n; Z3 u% Z" P
NFT也偃旗息鼓了，freemint没有前两天那么热闹，以太坊燃烧榜最多的是转移，不知道是不是转到交易所变现卖出了。 # W7 h$ J9 X2 O
各系列蓝筹NFT地板价都在下跌，无聊猿跌到72ETH，月鸟跌至14.8E，Azuki跌至7.35E，火柴人Mfers跌至1.02E。 |
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