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冷风说币：ETH今日完成合并 方向如何选择？2022.09.15
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市场消息
BlockBeats 主办，《以太坊合并之路——特别直播》预计将于 今日 12 时开启
2022年9月15日这一天，成立8年的以太坊将完成合并，并于今日午时开启直播。42万人参与验证、全球7000多个活跃节点一同协作、上万个区块链团队做出选择......
历史的齿轮缓缓转动，一场奠定未来区块链行业发展格局的事件，正在上演。
以太坊这次系统升级，不仅吸引了几乎所有币圈从业者的目光，甚至还引起了各大主流金融监管机构的重点关注。V神宣称这是以太坊成立以来最复杂的一次系统升级，意义重大，他为此已经准备了6年之久。
数据显示，目前以太坊已经拥有超过3000名开发者和数以百万计的用户，其生态运行着400多个Defi项目、13万个NFT合约和7500余个活跃节点。
以太坊合由POS工作机制完全代替POW工作机制， 还涉及一场千亿规模的资本洗牌和利益再分配。因为以太坊合并，直接撼动了数十万名加密货币矿工的利益，以及十年时间经营起来的、千亿规模的挖矿市场。
可以预见的是，PoW转PoS之后，人们只要联网就有可能成为节点，而不需要购买昂贵的矿机，持币者（质押者）成为挖矿者，这将促使更多的参与者和以太坊紧紧捆绑在一起，质押以太坊的人数和地址将再次大幅增加。
一个趋势越发明显，越来越多的主流区块链选择了PoS，比如Solana、Polygon等。或许自此以后，除了BTC之外，其他Crypto生态都会转向POS。
值得一提的是，英伟达、比特大陆、孙宇晨等都站在了PoW的一方；以太坊基金会、USDC和USDT以及他们领导的Defi市场、Yuga Labs和Opensea以及他们领导的NFT市场站在了PoS（权益证明）一方。
由此可见，选PoS还是选PoW，不仅是一场利益之争，也是信仰之争。
行情分析
BTC短线支撑19000-19500美元，短线压力20300-20500美元。摩根大通预测下周美联储加息100个基点的概率不到三分之一，美三大股指全线上涨，利于多头。大饼二次回踩位置19600美元附近，落在冷风预测的19500-19800美元的区间。个人认为大饼短线回踩基本上完成，如美股稳住，后市应该会有一个反弹的过程，建议小仓开始回补或者建仓，小仓现货破位18500止损。走势跟昨天相比没有改变，维持下跌后震荡整理，继续沿着支撑压力高抛低吸即可，小区间压力20300-20500，支撑20000-19700。今天还有以太坊合并兑现，建议稳健的朋友等待以太消息落地再操作。
ETH短线支撑1490-1550美元，短线压力1650-1680美元。短线走势强于大饼，今天9月15日是以太坊强分叉的日期，大家多关注，防止以太震荡幅度过大，多单冲高要注意减仓，早上走势肯定是震荡，下午合并落地后才是真正走出趋势的时候，可能并不会一下走出大趋势，但是冷风认为利好落地，上下插针是免不了的，后市以太整体趋势还可能往下，1550支撑非常关键，是本次上涨趋势线，同时也是120日均线位置，跌破可能不会在强势。
山寨币三个原则，大饼稳，板块热，龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点，一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。山寨币操作最要看大饼脸色，大饼涨的太猛吸血，跌的太猛恐惧。因此，要等大饼企稳了再操作。今天重点关注cel,comp,etc,op,knc等短线强势币的机会。昨天和今天早上会员群推荐单已经获利离场。建议等企稳关注山寨机会。 来源：金色财经 |
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