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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。
* t( w- }8 ~5 r6 F; @ISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？: D1 Z8 S; ^/ ]) P }# n2 {
什么是ISDA？8 z0 O7 W r' a1 L3 X/ y) f
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
0 U$ g7 _6 h1 X+ X& F营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约: e% r; K* q6 T; n5 R
(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易5 N0 `2 D/ T( H+ a& C: ?
双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市. p# ~8 F: B) j3 `
场的正常发展。
. L. j) j! B0 f2 ?9 N换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。4 W8 F6 L. w2 ~5 i
进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
6 U8 O+ J" `3 fDigital Asset。8 Z0 [: y4 E: s
加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？
* ^- N: x2 R6 f4 ^. G) r/ I8 i jDigital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影% b, e) Z7 `$ Q& L2 u
响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。1 h1 v4 V( x1 q. q
根据其推论：
4 g! ~, v9 _5 y# K, D7 `4 L5 Q现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元
+ ?$ {$ V0 r9 @4 U) |若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元 T# \ C* w* \* x2 n# g& |
XRP目前总市值为349亿美元; o" ~) M9 u# t/ r5 w1 j* ?3 _+ u3 b
需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元% J+ [! N' x' s. l& ?7 `# s
而XRP目前币价为0.6617425 Q% y6 B* w) S
0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元( x! _" n. H* [1 z* p" s
挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？
+ T: o7 H4 w: M8 Y9 l不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎- z/ L. l: J3 W9 d6 ]* B
也未有极大的波动。
- B9 ^. {9 B( O% o5 J4 j9 X而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生
9 N& B# E1 \0 U) K! K* a- P6 e性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这5 ]) O v0 R. N6 x$ g1 X
个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢5 x) j% k- |7 c5 W( P2 c" J& r
引导传统金融的采用呢？
$ @0 g2 h* o: K: b1 V0 c9 {3 e9 |! {5 B2 T
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