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[lastpost] => 2774387 加密货币市场今日行情：山寨币重击，十月熊市持续(转） 1760689533 rainwang
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: D; B! S; M7 s8 A6 p" V比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 " `5 C, ?0 v: A! s/ y
4 I$ c; Y" ?" ~+ d监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，) S s$ a; u! i$ T/ X
7 q N$ C5 R, o专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
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" R7 t6 P7 ]8 c% {5 |有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技7 ?/ [$ A8 [! [3 K
# w$ k& o3 a6 C- G9 R* a股等风险较高的投资。 0 l q# Y3 e% U
& R O. c/ J: q! e
芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储 m1 z# b% |1 Y. f1 k0 W& ~
) j, B6 X' M% L3 U明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 7 l' A6 h* @6 w8 C; j7 Y: `: y! B
D8 j& n# [! R, r B0 b+ X现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
; ^; K3 y3 B9 N- x; @3 `& Z& V" x6 g' D, c/ \* T0 f" L0 E( \
因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
3 y" P4 c& K4 X8 k$ C/ i& d6 a. V2 e2 l8 z8 y2 q7 [/ p! D
从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 8 W) k! q0 B! C2 d
" \1 n( Y+ n- q. G( y" N
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此4 m' t+ T5 Q' L- J8 n- X; K
" `8 F5 X) z' n: x
仍有许多交易商可能买入。 9 g3 H& L% t6 p' i5 l. q# S
# j3 e S3 j$ a1 D库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的+ ?# K7 a3 Y( s0 D
' z) s0 k& ~) j推动力之一。
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# X# j! e7 x; C3 }5 K9 S有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 8 c$ q& t& ^6 D5 w- d, G
+ _, C4 h: e1 V l( I8 W
加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣( U q; w2 `, {. F% w) G$ R* }
: f: J8 h* E) I4 z9 @
的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” ; d0 M4 u* J: x6 `/ T9 C. N
) M# \6 Z$ y. q0 X: Q
数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
/ D5 e* f! K9 d3 p
# t" ]- g, `2 v2 t/ g3 Z2 f今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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