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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
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答案几乎是肯定的：
i3 M1 m0 G$ \. B# E至少有以下几个原因：3 a; v7 M! D1 R/ g# P/ K/ P0 |
0 p) Z" [# u/ X, X, `7 o' Z
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
7 k, Q. X9 {9 j `* o. T0 D# _' F" P. q9 Q U- X3 J% k1 ]0 g" C ~3 H
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
+ T% w( F& P! |% O5 {( r& f1 _
b) z6 e3 l, Q& r4 Z; ?3 Y机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
; i7 M( _1 N3 p# I2 {5 J, f/ i; q8 @2 q0 n: e6 z' M- ]
出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
, }$ ~, j+ I, J' u; f( n$ c$ |5 V. C6 { I8 r
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数! m6 N1 X1 p1 w( ]/ \
$ E& N( s4 Q) ^+ R: D$ U
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
/ l1 m, i/ i8 E7 q4 j/ @1 \7 y0 i. D7 y a* L2 I' B7 |
达到200亿美金）
l6 K, R9 q" x! }/ ^8 G) T. f) V( ]2 i0 \ i. z3 v7 h
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
$ w( u( c, _( d( J) O, x/ p
* O3 e( m$ T3 b8 i# Z; t3 I+ c更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化( z3 F1 {5 U8 M' {
0 }- b6 g/ h* [4 d: B. ?$ a
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。7 t( r8 S O8 }( ?( ~9 B
: G3 |2 k) u u' B3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大$ r6 X8 s8 S6 R, W: q
0 U0 ^3 d% N) B1 }8 S7 h: i资金的信任和青睐。
$ A" o2 _5 S. n E8 [7 ]
' }: n3 Q, f! [! U5 j4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美% x" R8 t2 b3 S7 K2 J. T; Y
/ I6 ^* b8 P7 z1 E. {9 g. S/ u金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
! S/ d; T6 w" H" J2 l# h" J( ?% E: N& s
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
8 X; \& ^; E$ {8 v) E: y9 Z: v+ F" W& J" k; T
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