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[lastpost] => 2813579 美国2月未季调CPI年率将于今晚20:30公布，预期2.4%，前值2.4%（转） 1773191881 jackcool1011
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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人
% ]% `, F( `( |% Z& M% f6 z1 W$ ^$ z3 t+ g/ q
认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，
" A, P k) ~7 g& `! e* ?" l$ w5 p
而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富
) M8 c! M& o3 ]: Z$ h& g
) O5 e9 k$ V/ b+ y' d+ y3 I/ E的千禧一代。 b% u0 X3 V: K- m8 c
从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB4 w' h: V1 F8 V" q, E1 W4 n2 i
2 F3 p8 O! L0 g2 j7 @
的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“ H$ @5 _) Q1 [6 b0 o" [$ z2 P, U+ V
6 G, V* ]+ `- s. z
时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加
$ B% N$ X& h6 z; b6 W$ x$ d* k, d* |) v- E. O5 v( ~, t: d3 i
密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据
9 V! ^! Z* R8 ^1 } B
# S" E6 s) ?3 y& X4 q! w- H4 o《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成# [' e! \: i: C7 Z
3 v% N* W1 E& K/ T
的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》1 |8 H! T) O! Y# f9 N
w' N; M5 H8 Q! z% ?. ]" u! S
报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；. W9 F' a: u8 R$ ?9 T
, v4 C8 f6 m, |+ _
10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为
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, L9 h# Z% W0 G% Q. p% UETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。3 M- V3 f. y; Y! @" T# F6 L4 E- Q
1 v- L+ H7 p- f; r) k6 m据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降
% G6 n2 H) _9 P/ u5 B& z; E) `
/ [- V1 P- Z) l息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。
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与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密) M2 _% x8 @- ^7 T
+ ]& L- `7 w" L
世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富
0 x4 W3 @7 u _: E; P. m( O. Y1 x Y9 @1 p$ w
传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不( n/ h+ G) m+ i# P
- M# C9 R% d( `8 G- m5 B到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一# f* p8 j, l2 a
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代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成+ i3 |8 S% w) [. {7 l7 I6 s
$ O& Q) M2 J/ X% f本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体
. s( }& Q/ F+ M$ Z1 k7 U( r3 [9 [- J L6 M2 K
系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货; z) {3 j+ k+ G( L5 L- S3 z1 Q
! V4 t9 j$ y. e
币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致
( p3 t, D# U' I1 N# C2 z, D; C
0 V: m9 D$ c: y+ A) k未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富: ^: |2 l( ~2 t
9 {* ^" D' b5 U ]
/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。
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当前离线
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