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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。: o& U/ Z* X- w" n* \" g, l) _
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。
3 a( m0 I0 V8 ?0 I5 I
4 G7 r, n6 P3 @ A4 L n; _比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者
2 Z" P* \& \6 x
* C- q" `5 j! ]+ }2 R$ e g
! Y$ S# O/ j& R1 |7 p. p在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。
( l* B* g" ^( d7 K( Q% p( K
5 Z4 ^3 _8 g# N8 a H z# y" Y; B' D在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，0 D3 X: K" I/ m# b
2 O$ K8 V. m. O; p* O8 N如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
% B3 n% u6 S. h3 d0 W6 `" [) e( K7 M Q& z
资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。5 z4 G! E: Y7 U" O
; i; j, |6 @$ ?, ^0 y* m( c从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等
* i! [, R; f5 o$ ~- U' T9 R/ Q. ~$ M
3 J; ]% e6 H& i托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加5 V* n0 G. v' O w0 M. ?; d
: `. Y1 a% i; k# R% A5 K0 G
哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交 P2 k$ W. ^/ q$ [ ]$ {
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易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。
& l! P% [6 P$ n8 X' G& d; N5 ]2 x/ [. w j# y6 C! D' |# t1 n0 c
天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币
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7 {- w9 ]/ ^7 v5 L r6 F, LETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围
) q" j/ s; X$ T k; ^3 I2 c' }
0 ]7 T# e3 C) s/ D绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
& g3 O( l: q/ u' ~: h% W; ~
- P# G7 }5 i9 m5 d2 K所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
. g+ x1 r* M. n* p( G/ T c
! t6 p8 V7 B1 y0 M! q; X' G& N1 e在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat * J; G* _+ T6 G( G/ ?" b* R
& P, l$ A) T$ O6 ?/ _Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，
5 F* A+ R* i7 k: o1 c( N. e$ B6 `& t2 [- b) S, _
比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元( [6 A) Z' s* r- ^) ?2 F
8 _6 z& b0 a8 D6 f, o$ _! @' a的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。
' C Z$ s2 t+ Q+ d' j1 n M8 T3 y* u+ l, Z
不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身+ Y2 E( ~$ u$ d* y' X; f. \
2 p9 k, T) P/ |* A& G& W并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和
+ Q- h! N; b' z. _ d7 ~! d2 e4 ]. [8 {; n8 @
科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。+ T# `( z: d: c& X3 f
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