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[lastpost] => 2797285 比特币：探究比特币价格近期飙升至 9.5 万美元背后的原因（转） 1768443773 22301
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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。3 I0 c" x2 C; t( e& |) N' }1 D! L, L0 M
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。
% j1 F- f4 M4 Q( r' O2 c8 }7 H7 L/ W! t
比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者# g- T" K# U$ ^" m1 @# W
) K% J6 `0 g! q3 u
{/ C/ d! R, I0 }9 K
在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。( m+ v9 H% N5 V6 l( W/ J! j2 R( o
+ [4 }# ?, X8 D! k F8 ^在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，
( E. I% x5 Y$ s/ ?8 F$ u$ `% I& d u1 v5 a/ j2 {4 w' }" |
如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
% \& s/ i/ [; |* i7 C; y# B" V/ K, Q* |0 Z
资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。
/ ?8 N3 B+ h3 k4 t4 M5 r6 o' V
9 u* R: e) S" x. Z% u. a从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等6 V8 S. ]) u. y+ {% C( B8 j+ |
9 b; v9 w9 {$ b A( }! J* L8 ^托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加: t0 |- J3 Q3 E+ U3 s! z. Y
. e2 O, |' z( B/ T6 c哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交4 m) y" X( c( x+ x# I! K
$ O7 }8 [- Y! }7 Q% ^5 L易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。9 R9 J+ H- W5 f9 P9 b% M0 p
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天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币
# U/ g( k' r% E2 F K$ E
+ w% |, c8 ` Y5 f3 A# k% c0 u2 QETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围4 I# o- y1 A3 ?8 c& e. t$ \+ x
3 j3 e$ }: k9 j, z6 _. b绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
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8 G& }- h( N9 y8 B. M: y$ k' c所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
6 k; m" A$ U) E" k% ~
8 V1 G/ c% V/ c2 d在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat 9 T# L$ s1 Z4 v: e" h' \$ m
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Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，
7 c; ~- D( _1 c8 S# @* y2 C$ J. z9 j
比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元
3 b0 P" Y1 z9 H5 _4 x4 U* z: o# D B. v) X9 o; [# C7 ~; O+ O
的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。
5 X# k: P" S" S1 E$ r: Y+ p3 D2 N# D: Y. c
不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身: ?% B/ o/ P' X. g ~* [" f. J
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并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和
2 l$ i7 }0 q& S0 `, C/ U" v( y$ C, U8 e2 @# i
科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
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